[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Aug 4 12:48:51 CDT 2021


ABNT20 KNHC 041748
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
200 PM EDT Wed Aug 4 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A small low pressure area with limited shower and thunderstorm
activity is meandering over or near the Cabo Verde Islands.
Significant development of this system is not expected during the
next day or so due to unfavorable environmental conditions. However,
locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds will be possible over
portions of the Cabo Verde Islands through today while the system
moves little. Additional information on the low can be found in high
seas forecasts issued by Meteo-France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic is
producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions are expected to be marginally conducive for
some slow development east of the Lesser Antilles by Sunday and into
early next week while the disturbance moves west-northwestward at 10
to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off of the west coast of Africa
by late Thursday. Environmental conditions appear somewhat conducive
for gradual development thereafter over the far eastern tropical
Atlantic through the weekend into early next week while the system
moves generally westward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

&&
Additional information on the low pressure system near the Cabo
Verde Islands can be found in high seas forecasts issued by Meteo
France...under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
Forecaster Pagano/Stewart
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