[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Sep 23 09:58:11 CDT 2020


WTNT32 KWNH 231458
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Beta Advisory Number  24
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD   AL222020
1000 AM CDT Wed Sep 23 2020

...BETA CONTINUES ON A SLOW NORTHEASTWARD TRACK BRINGING HEAVY
RAINFALL ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.2N 94.2W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM W OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are Flash Flood Watches currently in effect across extreme
southeast Texas... southern Louisiana...and portions of western
Mississippi.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Beta
was located near latitude 30.2 North, longitude 94.2 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east-northeast near 9 mph
and this motion is expected to continue through the day.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Continued slow weakening is forecast over the next few days.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Rainfall totals of 3 to 5 inches are expected today into
early Thursday across portions of Louisiana and central Mississippi,
with isolated totals of 7 inches possible. Flash and urban flooding
is likely, as well as isolated minor river flooding on smaller
rivers.

Rainfall totals of 2 to 5 inches are expected across portions of the
Tennessee Valley and the southern Appalachians through the end of
the week. Flash and urban flooding is possible.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Wpc Forecaster

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  23/1500Z 30.2N  94.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 12H  24/0000Z 30.9N  92.9W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 24H  24/1200Z 32.1N  91.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 36H  25/0000Z 33.7N  88.7W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 48H  25/1200Z 35.7N  86.4W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 60H  26/0000Z...DISSIPATED
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