[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KBRO 200313
HLSBRO
TXZ251-256-257-351-201115-

Tropical Storm Beta Local Statement Advisory Number 10
National Weather Service Brownsville TX  AL222020
1013 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2020

This product covers The Rio Grande Valley and Deep South Texas

**BETA FORECAST TO BEGIN MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST ON
SUNDAY**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Coastal Cameron,
      Coastal Kenedy, Coastal Willacy, and Inland Kenedy

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 310 miles east of South Padre Island TX or about 320
      miles east of Port Mansfield TX
    - 26.8N 92.2W
    - Storm Intensity 60 mph
    - Movement North-northeast or 25 degrees at 2 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Beta has made very little movement over the past 12
hours. Latest GOES-16 IR/WV satellite imagery shows a disorganized
area of convection on the north and northeast side of the storm,
with dry air infiltrating near the center. Although the exact track
and intensity of Beta is still uncertain, best guidance shows it
will slowly move westward tonight before making a west-northwestward
turn by Sunday afternoon, making landfall along the central Texas
coast as a Tropical Storm sometime early Tuesday morning. Coastal
flooding continues to be the main concern along the lower Texas
coast, especially to the north of Port Mansfield where around 2 feet
of inundation will be possible. Additionally, any outer bands could
produce locally heavy rainfall, along with gusty winds to, or in
excess of, tropical storm force, mainly along the lower Texas coast.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
along the Lower Texas coast. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

Elsewhere across The Rio Grande Valley and Deep South Texas, little
to no impact is anticipated.

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
Kenedy County and South Padre Island. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across The Rio Grande Valley and Deep South Texas, little
to no impact is anticipated.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible limited
impacts along the Lower Texas coast. Potential impacts include:
    - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents.
      Small streams, creeks, canals, arroyos, and ditches may become
      swollen and overflow in spots.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
      near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge
      closures.

Elsewhere across The Rio Grande Valley and Deep South Texas, little
to no impact is anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or poor
drainage area, in a valley, or near an already swollen river, plan to
move to safe shelter on higher ground.

Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that
are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of
others.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Brownsville TX around 4 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$

Mejia
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