[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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WTUS84 KBRO 190322
HLSBRO
TXZ248>257-351-353-191130-

Tropical Storm Beta Local Statement Advisory Number 6
National Weather Service Brownsville TX  AL222020
1022 PM CDT Fri Sep 18 2020

This product covers The Rio Grande Valley and Deep South Texas

**AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND BETA STRONGER**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch have been issued
      for Coastal Kenedy
    - A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Coastal Cameron,
      Coastal Willacy, and Inland Kenedy

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch are in effect for
      Coastal Kenedy
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Coastal Cameron,
      Coastal Willacy, and Inland Kenedy

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 320 miles east of Brownsville TX or about 330 miles
      east-southeast of Port Mansfield TX
    - 25.5N 92.3W
    - Storm Intensity 60 mph
    - Movement North-northeast or 30 degrees at 12 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Recent aircraft reconssaince data indicates that Tropical Storm Beta
has gradually strengthened this evening with maximum sustained winds
of 50 mph with a reformation of the center further to the north-
northeast. Beta will continue to move towards the north-northeast into
tomorrow before turning and moving slowly towards the west- northwest
for several days towards the middle Texas coastline while
strengthening into a hurricane. As Beta nears landfall, it will turn
more northward into the middle of next week. Overall, there is high
uncertainty with regards to the exact track and intensity. Also do
note that some impacts will also be felt outside of the cone of
uncertainty. Deep South Texas, especially nearest the gulf coast, will
feature the potential for bands of heavy rainfall and gusty winds in
excess of tropical storm winds. Storm surge will also be possible
along the coast, especially to the north of Port Mansfield where 2 to
4 feet will be possible.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Prepare for dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across
the adjacent Lower Texas coastal waters. Potential impacts in this
area include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

Also, prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts
across eastern and central portions of Deep South Texas.

* SURGE:
Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
along the lower Texas coastline. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

Elsewhere across The Rio Grande Valley and Deep South Texas, little
to no impact is anticipated.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible limited
impacts across the coastal counties of Deep South Texas. Potential
impacts include:
    - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents.
      Small streams, creeks, canals, arroyos, and ditches may become
      swollen and overflow in spots.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
      near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge
      closures.

Elsewhere across The Rio Grande Valley and Deep South Texas, little
to no impact is anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time across The Rio
Grande Valley and Deep South Texas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:

Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or poor
drainage area, in a valley, or near an already swollen river, plan to
move to safe shelter on higher ground.

When securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded
as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of
strong gusty winds or flooding can cause certain preparedness
activities to become unsafe.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Brownsville TX around 4 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$

Brady
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