[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 132321
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Sep 13 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Paulette, located over the western Atlantic, on Tropical Depression
Rene, located over the central Atlantic, on Tropical Storm Sally,
centered over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico, and on Tropical
Depression Twenty, located over the east-central tropical Atlantic.

A weak area of low pressure over the west-central Gulf of Mexico
continues to produce limited shower activity.  Any development of
this system is expected to be slow to occur while it moves
southwestward and then southward at 5 to 10 mph over the western
Gulf of Mexico during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

An elongated area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles
west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce an
area of showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are
conducive for a short-lived tropical depression to form on Monday
while the low moves north-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.  Development
is not expected by Tuesday when the system is forecast to encounter
strong upper-level winds and move over colder waters.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa on
Monday.  Some slow development of the system is possible by the
middle or late part of the week as the wave moves westward at about
10 mph over the far eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
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