[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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WTUS82 KTAE 120314
HLSTAE
ALZ068-069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-GAZ155>159-121200-

Tropical Depression Nineteen Local Statement Advisory Number 2
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL  AL192020
1114 PM EDT Fri Sep 11 2020 /1014 PM CDT Fri Sep 11 2020/

This product covers eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, southeastern Alabama
and southwestern Georgia

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE PANHANDLE COAST...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Coastal Bay, Coastal
      Franklin, Coastal Gulf, and South Walton

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Coastal Bay, Coastal
      Franklin, Coastal Gulf, and South Walton

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 470 miles southeast of Panama City or about 420 miles
      southeast of Apalachicola
    - 25.7N 79.8W
    - Storm Intensity 35 mph
    - Movement West-northwest or 295 degrees at 8 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Depression Nine is expected to enter the eastern Gulf of Mexico by Saturday
afternoon. It is forecast to strengthen into a Tropical Storm shortly after
emerging into the Gulf. The current track of the storm keeps its center in the
northeast Gulf and does not forecast a landfall across north Florida. However, very
heavy rainfall is expected across north Florida and possibly into southern Georgia and
southeast Alabama as the storm moves very slowly through the northern Gulf. The potential
for tropical storm force winds and gusts exists but is forecast to remain primarily
confined to the immediate Panhandle and western Big Bend coast. Like with most tropical
systems, the potential for a few tornadoes cannot be ruled out across north Florida.
Expect the bulk of the aforementioned threats to occur in the Sunday afternoon through
Tuesday night timeframe. The threat for impactful storm surge appears low at this time.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across the Panhandle coast. Potential impacts
include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, and ditches
      overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across The Big Bend coast, the remainder of north Florida
and extreme southern Georgia and southeast Alabama.

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across the immediate
Panhandle and Big Bend coast. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across north Florida, southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia,
little to no impact is anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across the Panhandle
and western Big Bend of Florida. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

Elsewhere across north Florida, southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia,
little to no impact is anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions, including
possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so immediately.


* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

If you are a visitor, know the name of the county in which you are
located and where it is relative to current watches and warnings. If
staying at a hotel, ask the management staff about their onsite
disaster plan. Listen for evacuation orders, especially pertaining to
area visitors.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Tallahassee FL around 5 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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