[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Sep 6 06:29:56 CDT 2020


ABNT20 KNHC 061129
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Sep 6 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An area of low pressure located about midway between the west coast
of Africa and the Leeward Islands is gradually becoming better
defined.  However, the associated showers and thunderstorms remain
disorganized.  Gradual development of this system is expected, and
a tropical depression is likely to form in the next day or so while
it moves westward or west-northwestward across the central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in
association with a tropical wave that is located just off the coast
of western Africa. Gradual development of this system is expected,
and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of the
week while it moves generally westward over the far eastern
tropical Atlantic. Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should
monitor the progress of this system as gusty winds and locally
heavy rainfall is possible there on Monday and Tuesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

A tropical wave located over the central Caribbean Sea continues to
produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Development, if
any, of this system should be slow to occur during the next day or
two while it moves westward across the central and western
Caribbean Sea.  After that time, unfavorable upper-level winds
should limit its formation chances.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

A trough of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles
southeast of Bermuda is producing disorganized cloudiness and
showers.  Environmental conditions are only marginally conducive
for development during the next several days while this system
moves west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
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