[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Sep 5 18:28:49 CDT 2020


ABNT20 KNHC 052328
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Sep 5 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Omar, located about 600 miles northeast of
Bermuda.

A tropical wave and area of low pressure located over the eastern
tropical Atlantic continues to produce a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Gradual development of
this system is expected while it moves westward to
west-northwestward, and a tropical depression is likely to form late
this weekend or early next week when the system reaches the central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

A tropical wave located over the east-central Caribbean Sea is
producing an area of showers and thunderstorms.  Some slow
development of this system is possible during the next couple of
days before upper-level winds become unfavorable for formation.
This wave is expected to move westward across the central and
western Caribbean Sea during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Another tropical wave located over western Africa is forecast to
move over the eastern tropical Atlantic on Sunday.  Gradual
development of this system is then expected, and a tropical
depression is likely to form by the middle of next week while it
moves generally westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven
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