[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Oct 28 11:20:02 CDT 2020
WTUS84 KMOB 281619
HLSMOB
ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-290030-
Hurricane Zeta Local Statement Advisory Number 16
National Weather Service Mobile AL AL282020
1119 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2020
This product covers portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south
central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.
**HURRICANE WARNINGS EXTENDED INTO PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- The Tropical Storm Warning has been upgraded to a Hurricane
Warning for George, Greene, Perry, and Stone
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Hurricane Warning is in effect for George, Greene, Perry, and
Stone
- A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Baldwin Inland,
Butler, Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw,
Escambia, Escambia Inland, Mobile Inland, Monroe, Okaloosa
Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, Santa Rosa Inland, Washington, Wayne,
and Wilcox
- A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
for Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Escambia Coastal, Mobile
Central, Mobile Coastal, and Santa Rosa Coastal
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 340 miles southwest of Mobile AL or about 370 miles
southwest of Pensacola FL
- 26.9N 91.7W
- Storm Intensity 90 mph
- Movement North or 10 degrees at 18 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
Hurricane Zeta continues to move northward across the central Gulf this
morning and is forecast to make landfall in southeastern Louisiana
this afternoon. Zeta is expected to move rapidly northeastward across
southeast Mississippi and Alabama this evening into tonight. Multiple
regional impacts are expected, including damaging winds, deadly storm
surge, heavy rain, dangerous surf and rip currents, and a few
tornadoes. We remain very concerned about the damaging wind potential
as Zeta moves across our area this evening into tonight. The Hurricane
Warning has been extended inland into Stone, George, Perry, and Greene
counties in southeast Mississippi where frequent gusts over hurricane
force are expected. A few gusts near hurricane force still cannot be
ruled out over portions of interior southwest Alabama late this
evening. Tropical storm force winds will impact much of the rest of our
region. Numerous trees and power lines may be downed. If leaning
and/or weakened trees are near your home, please have a plan to prepare
and be as safe as possible! Deadly storm surge will also impact coastal
Alabama and the western Florida panhandle west of Navarre. The highest
surge values of 6 to 9 feet are expected along coastal areas of
southern Mobile County, including Dauphin Island. 4 to 6 feet of surge
is expected to impact Mobile Bay. Surge of 2 to 4 feet will impact the
western Florida panhandle coast and bays west of Navarre.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* WIND:
Protect against life-threatening wind having possible extensive to
significant impacts across much of southeast Mississippi and southwest
Alabama. Potential impacts in this area include:
- Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having
window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural
damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed.
Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be
uninhabitable for weeks.
- Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
or heavily wooded places.
- Large areas with power and communications outages.
Also, protect against dangerous wind having possible limited to
significant impacts across the extreme western Florida Panhandle
and south central Alabama.
* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible extensive to
significant impacts across coastal Alabama and portions of the western
Florida panhandle coast west of Navarre. Potential impacts in this
area include:
- Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding
accentuated by battering waves. Structural damage to buildings,
with several washing away. Damage compounded by floating
debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an extended period.
- Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads
washed out or severely flooded. Flood control systems and
barriers may become stressed.
- Severe beach erosion with significant dune loss.
- Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many
small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and stranded.
Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts from Navarre to Destin.
* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts west of the Interstate 65 Corridor over southeast Mississippi
and southwest Alabama. Potential impacts include:
- Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
ditches overflow.
- Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.
Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts east of the Interstate 65 Corridor mainly in south
central Alabama.
* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south
central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.. Potential
impacts include:
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
pulled from moorings.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.
For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move,
relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help keep
roadways open for those under evacuation orders.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.
Storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and
hurricanes! Make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge zone.
Even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find yourself
cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. Heed evacuation
orders issued by the local authorities.
If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or on
a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of strong
winds or flooding.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information...please
refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number
or website listed below.
- Coastal Alabama:
- Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or www.mcema.net
- Northwest Florida:
- Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or bereadyescambia.com
- Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
- Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or www.co.okaloosa.fl.us/ps/home
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mobile AL around 5 PM CDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.
$$
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