[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Oct 28 04:44:25 CDT 2020
WTUS84 KMOB 280944
HLSMOB
ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-281745-
Hurricane Zeta Local Statement Advisory Number 15
National Weather Service Mobile AL AL282020
444 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2020
This product covers portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south
central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.
**ZETA EXPECTED TO BRING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AND STORM SURGE TO
THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- None
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
for Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Escambia Coastal, Mobile
Central, Mobile Coastal, and Santa Rosa Coastal
- A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Baldwin Inland,
Butler, Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw,
Escambia, Escambia Inland, George, Greene, Mobile Inland,
Monroe, Okaloosa Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, Perry, Santa Rosa
Inland, Stone, Washington, Wayne, and Wilcox
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 450 miles south-southwest of Mobile AL or about 470 miles
southwest of Pensacola FL
- 25.1N 91.8W
- Storm Intensity 85 mph
- Movement North-northwest or 345 degrees at 17 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
As of 4:00 AM CDT, the center of Hurricane Zeta is turning more
toward the north and is slightly faster as it approaches the north
central gulf coast. On this forecast track, Zeta is forecast to make
landfall in southeastern Louisiana this afternoon, move close to the
Mississippi coast this evening, and then rapidly off to the northeast
thereafter. Multiple regional impacts are expected, including damaging
winds, deadly storm surge, heavy rain, dangerous surf and rip currents,
and isolated tornadoes. We remain very concerned about the damaging
wind potential as Zeta moves across our area Wednesday evening and
Wednesday night. Numerous trees and power lines may be downed, even
across inland areas. If leaning and/or weakened trees are near your
home, please have a plan to prepare and be as safe as possible!
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* WIND:
Protect against life-threatening wind having possible extensive
impacts across across interior southeast Mississippi and southwestern
Alabama. Potential impacts in this area include:
- Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having
window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural
damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed.
Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be
uninhabitable for weeks.
- Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
or heavily wooded places.
- Large areas with power and communications outages.
Also, protect against dangerous wind having possible limited to
significant impacts across the extreme western Florida Panhandle
and south central Alabama.
* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible extensive
impacts across coastal Alabama. Potential impacts in this area include:
- Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding
accentuated by battering waves. Structural damage to buildings,
with several washing away. Damage compounded by floating
debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an extended period.
- Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads
washed out or severely flooded. Flood control systems and
barriers may become stressed.
- Severe beach erosion with significant dune loss.
- Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many
small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and stranded.
Also, protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across the western Florida Panhandle - generally west of Navarre.
Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts from navarre to Destin.
* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts west of the I-65 Corridor over interior southeast Mississippi
and southwest Alabama. Potential impacts include:
- Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
ditches overflow.
- Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.
Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts east of the I-65 Corridor, mainly in south central
Alabama.
* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south
central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.. Potential
impacts include:
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
pulled from moorings.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions, including
possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so immediately.
For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind, falling
trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move, relocate to
a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help keep roadways open
for those under evacuation orders.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and property
in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a safe location
before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.
If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large trees,
a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or on a boat,
consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of strong winds or
flooding.
Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information...please
refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number
or website listed below.
- Coastal Alabama:
- Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or www.mcema.net
- Northwest Florida:
- Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or bereadyescambia.com
- Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
- Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or www.co.okaloosa.fl.us/ps/home
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mobile AL around 11 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.
$$
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