[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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LAZ052>055-281130-

Tropical Storm Zeta Local Statement Advisory Number 14
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA  AL282020
1021 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2020

This product covers Southwest Louisiana and Southeast Texas

**ZETA EXPECTED TO BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS AND STORM SURGE TO A
 PORTION OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TODAY**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Iberia, Lower St.
      Martin, St. Mary, and Vermilion

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 430 miles south-southeast of Cameron LA or about 410
      miles south of Morgan City LA
    - 23.8N 91.2W
    - Storm Intensity 70 mph
    - Movement Northwest or 325 degrees at 15 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Zeta continues to become more organized as it moves
northwest across the Gulf of Mexico. Zeta is forecast to strengthen to
hurricane force overnight, with a gradual turn toward the north
expected. Zeta will begin to accelerate north-northeastward on
Wednesday, with a landfall expected along the southeast Louisiana
coast late Wednesday afternoon or early evening.

Tropical storm force winds are expected to enter the eastern portion
of the coastal waters beyond 20 nm east of Intracoastal City early
Wednesday morning, then spread northward through the eastern sections
of the coastal waters during the day.

Some tropical storm force winds, mainly in gusts, will be possible for
the Lower Atchafalaya Basin Wednesday afternoon and evening. Some
water level rises will be possible along the Vermilion and Atchafalaya
Bays during Wednesday with the easterly flow ahead of Zeta.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Prepare for dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across
the Lower Atchafalaya Basin. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges and access routes
      impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

Elsewhere across Southwest Louisiana and Southeast Texas, little to no
impact is anticipated.

* SURGE:
Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
across the Vermilion and Atchafalaya Bays. Potential impacts in this
area include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland along rivers and bayous that drain into the Gulf.
    - Sections of roads and parking lots near bodies of water may
      become overspread with surge water. Driving conditions
      dangerous in places where surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, and piers.
      A few small craft broken away from moorings.

Elsewhere across Southwest Louisiana and Southeast Texas, little to
no impact is anticipated.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible limited
impacts across the Lower Atchafalaya Basin. Potential impacts include:
    - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents.
      Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen
      and overflow in spots.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
      near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge
      closures.

Elsewhere across Southwest Louisiana and Southeast Texas, little to
no impact is anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
WATCH/WARNING PHASE - Listen to local official for recommended
preparedness actions, including possible evacuation. If ordered to
evacuate, do so immediately.


* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that
are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of
others.

Check on those who may not be fully aware of the situation or who are
unable to make personal preparations.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news outlets
for official storm information. Listen for possible changes to the
forecast.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Lake Charles LA around 4 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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