[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KMOB 271614
HLSMOB
ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-280015-

Tropical Storm Zeta Local Statement Advisory Number 12
National Weather Service Mobile AL  AL282020
1114 AM CDT Tue Oct 27 2020

This product covers portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south
central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.

**TROPICAL STORM AND STORM SURGE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
      for Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Escambia Coastal, Mobile
      Central, Mobile Coastal, and Santa Rosa Coastal
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Baldwin Inland,
      Butler, Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw,
      Escambia, Escambia Inland, George, Greene, Mobile Inland,
      Monroe, Okaloosa Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, Perry, Santa Rosa
      Inland, Stone, Washington, Wayne, and Wilcox

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 630 miles south of Mobile AL or about 630 miles
      south-southwest of Pensacola FL
    - 21.6N 89.5W
    - Storm Intensity 65 mph
    - Movement Northwest or 305 degrees at 14 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Zeta is emerging from the Yucatan Peninsula into the
southern Gulf this morning and is forecast to strengthen to a hurricane
again later today. Zeta is expected to turn toward the north tonight,
followed by a faster north-northeast motion Wednesday. Zeta then
approaches the northern Gulf Coast in the warning area late Wednesday
afternoon and evening. Multiple regional impacts are expected,
including deadly storm surge, damaging winds, heavy rain, dangerous
surf and rip currents, and potentially a few tornadoes. We are becoming
increasingly concerned about the damaging wind potential as Zeta moves
across our area Wednesday evening and Wednesday night. Numerous trees
and power lines may be downed, even across inland areas. If leaning
and/or weakened trees are near your home, please have a plan to prepare
and be as safe as possible!

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible extensive
impacts across coastal Alabama and coastal portions of the western
Florida panhandle west of Navarre. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding
      accentuated by battering waves. Structural damage to buildings,
      with several washing away. Damage compounded by floating
      debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an extended period.
    - Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads
      washed out or severely flooded. Flood control systems and
      barriers may become stressed.
    - Severe beach erosion with significant dune loss.
    - Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many
      small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and stranded.

Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across coastal portions of the western Florida panhandle east
of Navarre.

* WIND:
Protect against dangerous wind having possible significant impacts
across southeast Mississippi, much of southwest and south central
Alabama, and a portion of the western Florida panhandle. Potential
impacts in this area include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts generally along and northwest of the Interstate 65 corridor.
Potential impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across the remainder of south central Alabama and the
western Florida panhandle east of the Interstate 65 corridor.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
the western Florida panhandle, much of southwest and south central and
a small portion of inland southeast Mississippi. Potential impacts
include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.


* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or on
a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of strong
winds or flooding.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information...please
refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number
or website listed below.
- Coastal Alabama:
- Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or www.mcema.net
- Northwest Florida:
- Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or bereadyescambia.com
- Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
- Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or www.co.okaloosa.fl.us/ps/home
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mobile AL around 5 PM CDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.

$$
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