[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Oct 27 05:23:08 CDT 2020
WTUS84 KMOB 271022
HLSMOB
ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-271830-
Tropical Storm Zeta Local Statement Advisory Number 11
National Weather Service Mobile AL AL282020
522 AM CDT Tue Oct 27 2020
This product covers portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south
central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.
**TROPICAL STORM AND STORM SURGE WATCHES HAVE BEEN UPGRADED TO WARNINGS
THIS ADVISORY**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- The Storm Surge Watch has been upgraded to a Storm Surge
Warning and the Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a
Tropical Storm Warning for Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal,
Escambia Coastal, Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, and Santa
Rosa Coastal
- The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm
Warning for Baldwin Inland, Butler, Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh,
Covington, Crenshaw, Escambia, Escambia Inland, George, Greene,
Mobile Inland, Monroe, Okaloosa Coastal, Okaloosa Inland,
Perry, Santa Rosa Inland, Stone, Washington, Wayne, and Wilcox
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
for Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Escambia Coastal, Mobile
Central, Mobile Coastal, and Santa Rosa Coastal
- A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Baldwin Inland,
Butler, Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw,
Escambia, Escambia Inland, George, Greene, Mobile Inland,
Monroe, Okaloosa Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, Perry, Santa Rosa
Inland, Stone, Washington, Wayne, and Wilcox
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 670 miles south of Mobile AL or about 660 miles south of
Pensacola FL
- 21.0N 88.4W
- Storm Intensity 70 mph
- Movement Northwest or 305 degrees at 14 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
Hurricane Zeta over the Yucatan Peninsula will move northwest into the
south central Gulf of Mexico today. Zeta is then forecast to turn toward
the north tonight, followed by a faster north-northeast motion Wednesday.
Zeta then approaches the northern Gulf Coast in the warning area late
Wednesday afternoon and evening. Multiple regional impacts are expected,
including wind, storm surge, heavy rain, dangerous surf and rip currents,
and potentially a few tornadoes. We are particularly concerned for those
who live near weakened trees associated with Hurricane Sally's landfall
just over a month ago. If leaning and/or weakened trees are near your
home, please have a plan to prepare and be as safe as possible!
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* WIND:
Protect against dangerous wind having possible significant impacts
across much of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south central
Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.. Potential impacts include:
- Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
objects become dangerous projectiles.
- Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
fences and roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
or heavily wooded places.
- Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
in areas with above ground lines.
* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts west of Navarre Florida. Potential impacts in this area include:
- Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
- Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
spots.
- Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
numerous rip currents.
- Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
unprotected anchorages.
Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts east of Navarre Florida.
* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible
significant impacts generally northwest of the I-65 Corridor. Potential
impacts include:
- Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
ditches overflow.
- Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.
Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across southeast of the I-65 Corridor.
* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south
central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.. Potential
impacts include:
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
pulled from moorings.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions, including
possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so immediately.
For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind, falling
trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move, relocate to
a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help keep roadways open
for those under evacuation orders.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and property
in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a safe location
before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.
If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large trees,
a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or on a boat,
consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of strong winds or
flooding.
Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information...please
refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number
or website listed below.
- Coastal Alabama:
- Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or www.mcema.net
- Northwest Florida:
- Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or bereadyescambia.com
- Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
- Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or www.co.okaloosa.fl.us/ps/home
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mobile AL around 11 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.
$$
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