[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT33 KNHC 242053
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Twenty-Eight Advisory Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL282020
500 PM EDT Sat Oct 24 2020

...2020 PRODUCES YET ANOTHER TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR PART OF WESTERN CUBA...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.7N 83.0W
ABOUT 255 MI...405 KM SSE OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
ABOUT 280 MI...455 KM ESE OF COZUMEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Cuba has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for the
province of Pinar del Rio.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Pinar del Rio Cuba

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests in the Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of
the depression.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Twenty-Eight was located near latitude 18.7 North, longitude 83.0
West. The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 2
mph (4 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through early
Sunday.  The system should gradually turn toward the west-northwest
with a faster forward speed by Monday.  On the forecast track, the
center of the depression is anticipated to remain south of Cuba
tomorrow and approach the Yucatan Channel or Yucatan Peninsula late
Monday before emerging into the southern Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow strengthening is forecast during the next 72 hours, and the
system is expected to become a tropical storm on Sunday and could
become a hurricane over the southern Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on NOAA Hurricane
Hunter aircraft data is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for the depression can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC.

RAINFALL: Across portions of central and western Cuba, the Cayman
Islands, Jamaica, the northeast Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico,
southern Florida and the Florida Keys, storm total rainfall of 4
to 8 inches with local amounts of 12 inches are possible through
Wednesday.

WIND: Tropical-storm conditions are possible in the watch area
on Monday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Blake
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