[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Hurricane Delta Local Statement Advisory Number 15
National Weather Service Shreveport LA  AL262020
440 AM CDT Thu Oct 8 2020

This product covers ArkLaTex

**TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Caldwell, Grant, La
      Salle, Natchitoches, Sabine, and Winn

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 580 miles south of Natchitoches LA or about 630 miles
      south of Monroe LA
    - 23.4N 91.8W
    - Storm Intensity 100 mph
    - Movement Northwest or 305 degrees at 15 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

At 400 AM CDT, the center of Hurricane Delta has re-entered the
open waters of the Gulf of Mexico. Delta is moving toward the
northwest near 15 mph. A general northwestward motion with a reduction
in forward speed is expected through early this morning. A
north-northwestward motion is expected late today, and a faster
northward to north-northeastward motion is forecast on Friday and
Friday night. On the forecast track, the center of Delta will move
over the southern and central Gulf of Mexico today, and approach the
northern Gulf coast on Friday. Delta is predicted to make landfall
along the coast of southwestern Louisiana by Friday evening.

Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph with higher gusts.
Strengthening is forecast to continue while the hurricane moves over
the southern and central Gulf of Mexico today, and Delta is expected
to become a major hurricane again. Some weakening is forecast as Delta
moves over cooler waters and approaches the northern Gulf coast on
Friday.

Delta should weaken further as it moves inland, and should weaken to a
tropical storm as it moves across central Louisiana and the ArkLaMiss
Friday night and early Saturday morning.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for dangerous flooding rainfall having possible significant
impacts across West Central and Northeast Louisiana. Potential impacts
include:
    - Flooding may prompt water rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, bayous, and
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across Deep East Texas, Northwest Louisiana, and South
Central Arkansas.

Elsewhere across the ArkLaTex, little to no impact is anticipated.

* WIND:
Prepare for damaging winds having possible impacts across West Central
and Northeast Louisiana. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Scattered large trees uprooted along with fences blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from fallen trees, and more within heavily
      wooded places.
    - Some areas with power and communications outages.

Also, prepare for sporadic wind damage with tree limbs down across Deep
East Texas, Northwest Louisiana, and South Central Arkansas.

Elsewhere across the ArkLaTex, little to no impact is anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain and damaging
wind gusts extend well away from the center of the storm.

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, or on a boat, plan to move to safe shelter.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or poor
drainage area, in a valley, or near an already swollen river, plan to
move to safe shelter on higher ground.

Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that
are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of
others.

When securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded
as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of
strong gusty winds or flooding can cause certain preparedness
activities to become unsafe.

Be sure to let friends and family members know of your intentions for
weathering the storm and your whereabouts. Have someone located away
from the threatened area serve as your point of contact. Share vital
contact information with others. Keep cell phones handy and charged.

Check on those who may not be fully aware of the situation or who are
unable to make personal preparations.

If you are a visitor, know the name of the county or parish in which
you are located and where it is relative to current watches and
warnings. If staying at a hotel, ask the management staff about their
onsite disaster plan.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Shreveport LA around 10 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$

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