[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KMOB 072123
HLSMOB
ALZ263>266-080530-

Hurricane Delta Local Statement Advisory Number 13
National Weather Service Mobile AL  AL262020
423 PM CDT Wed Oct 7 2020

This product covers portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south
central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.

**CENTER OF DELTA HAS EMERGED OFF THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN
 PENINSULA AND WILL CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWEST TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST
 LOUISIANA COAST**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for Baldwin Central, Baldwin
      Coastal, Mobile Central, and Mobile Coastal

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 600 miles south of Mobile AL or about 600 miles
      south-southwest of Pensacola FL
    - 22.1N 89.5W
    - Storm Intensity 85 mph
    - Movement Northwest or 305 degrees at 17 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

As of 4:00 PM CDT, Hurricane Delta has now moved off the Yucatan
Peninsula. Delta is expected to continue moving northwest across the
Gulf as it slowly re-intensifies into a Major hurricane Tomorrow. Landfall
is expected to occur Friday along the southwestern Louisiana coast and
confidence in this track is increasing.

For our area the track has continued to move westward with time which
would result in lower impacts to our area. However, as Delta moves
across the Gulf, the storm is expected to expand in size which will
keep some impacts. This will be especially true along coastal Alabama
and southeastern Mississippi. Storm surge of 2 to 4 feet will be
possible along coastal Alabama including Mobile Bay mainly during the
day Saturday. We are expecting a few outer rand bands to move across
the area especially Friday night into Saturday. These banding features
could bring an increased tornado threat along with locally heavy
rainfall of 1 to 3 inches and gusty winds up to 40 mph. It is important
to remain up to date with this system as variations in track and size
could bring more or less impacts depending on any shifts.


POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant impacts
across coastal Alabama including Mobile Bay. Potential impacts in this
area include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

Also, prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across the northwest Florida Panhandle.


* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
southeast Mississippi and southwest Alabama. Potential impacts
include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.


* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible limited
impacts across southeast Mississippi and interior southwest Alabama.
Potential impacts include:
    - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter currents.
      Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become swollen
      and overflow in spots.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
      near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge
      closures.

Elsewhere across portions of northwest Florida, and south central
Alabama, little to no impact is anticipated.

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
southeastern Mississippi. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama, northwest
Florida, and south central Alabama, little to no impact is
anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
WATCH/WARNING PHASE - Listen to local official for recommended
preparedness actions, including possible evacuation. If ordered to
evacuate, do so immediately.

WATCH/WARNING PHASE - For those not under evacuation orders, assess
the risk from wind, falling trees, and flooding at your location. If
you decide to move, relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do
not relocate, help keep roadways open for those under evacuation
orders.

WATCH/WARNING PHASE - If evacuating, leave with a destination in mind
and allow extra time to get there. Take your emergency supplies kit.
Gas up your vehicle ahead of time.

WATCH/WARNING PHASE - Let others know where you are going prior to
departure. Secure loose items and pets in the car, and avoid
distracted driving.

WATCH/WARNING PHASE - If evacuating, follow designated evacuation
routes. Seek traffic information on roadway signs, the radio, and
from official sources.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or poor
drainage area, in a valley, or near an already swollen river, plan to
move to safe shelter on higher ground.

Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that
are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of
others.

When securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded
as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of
strong gusty winds or flooding can cause certain preparedness
activities to become unsafe.

If you are a visitor, know the name of the county or parish in which
you are located and where it is relative to current watches and
warnings. If staying at a hotel, ask the management staff about their
onsite disaster plan. Listen for evacuation orders, especially
pertaining to area visitors.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.

There is a threat from tornadoes with this storm. Have multiple ways
to receive Tornado Warnings. Be ready to shelter quickly.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information...please
refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number
or website listed below.
- Coastal Alabama:
- Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or www.mcema.net
- Northwest Florida:
- Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or bereadyescambia.com
- Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
- Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or www.co.okaloosa.fl.us/ps/home
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mobile AL around 11 PM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$

BB/03
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net