[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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WTUS82 KTAE 110323
HLSTAE
FLZ018-019-028-029-034-115-118-127-128-134-111130-

Tropical Storm Eta Local Statement Advisory Number 43
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL  AL292020
1023 PM EST Tue Nov 10 2020

This product covers eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, southeastern
Alabama and southwestern Georgia

...TROPICAL STORM AND STORM SURGE WATCH NOW IN EFFECT AS ETAS TRACK SHIFTS
FURTHER EAST...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch have been issued
      for Coastal Dixie
    - A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Coastal Taylor

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch are in effect for
      Coastal Dixie
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Coastal Taylor

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 410 miles south of Apalachicola or about 390 miles
      south-southwest of Suwannee River
    - 23.8N 84.5W
    - Storm Intensity 65 mph
    - Movement North-northeast or 15 degrees at 9 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Model data and satellite trends favor a more eastward path to Eta over the
coming days. While this tends to lessen the threat for storm surge impacting
a large portion of Apalachee Bay, it also favors a slightly stronger system
as it nears landfall. Thus, a storm surge watch has been issued for coastal
Dixie county only, while a tropical storm watch extends a little further north
to the Aucilla river to account for winds on the northwest side of the storm.

There may be a brief period where minor coastal flooding could occur from
Franklin county eastward, but the greatest threat for inundation over 3 feet
would be along the immediate Dixie county coast. At this time, the potential
for heavy rain that would result in flooding is too low to include in the
forecast. Additionally, if the storm makes landfall south of our forecast area,
the threat for tornadoes would remain very low. The main threats with Eta to
the Big Bend region will be dangerous marine/beach conditions, inland gusts
to tropical storm force, and storm surge impacts south of Steinhatchee.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across the southeast
Big Bend. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across the Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend,
southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* SURGE:
Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across coastal Dixie county. Potential impacts in
this area include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

Also, prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across the remainder of the Big Bend coast.

Elsewhere across eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend,
southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia, little to no impact is
anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:

WATCH/WARNING PHASE - Listen to local official for recommended
preparedness actions, including possible evacuation. If ordered to
evacuate, do so immediately.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the Gulf of Mexico or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or
poor drainage area, or near an already swollen river, plan to move to
safe shelter on higher ground.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Tallahassee FL around 4 AM EST, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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