[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT33 KWNH 090901
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Cristobal Advisory Number  31
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD   AL032020
400 AM CDT Tue Jun 09 2020

...CRISTOBAL MOVING INTO MISSOURI...
...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD THROUGH THE MIDDLE AND
UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.8N 92.0W
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM N OF LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM ESE OF SPRINGFIELD MISSOURI
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for...
* Areas in and near the length of the Mississippi Valley

A Gale Warning is in effect for...
* Much of Lake Michigan
* Portions of eastern Lake Superior
* Portions of Lake Huron


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Cristobal was located near latitude 36.8 North, longitude 92.0 West.
The depression is moving toward the north near 25 mph (41 km/h) and
its motion is expected to acceleerate to the north and
north-northeast over the next 36 hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 36 hours as
Cristobal transitions into an extratropical cyclone.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Gusty winds are expected Tuesday night and Wednesday over
portions of the Midwest and western Great Lakes as Cristobal
strengthens as an extratropical low.

RAINFALL: Cristobal will produce storm total rainfall accumulations
of 2 to 4 inches with local amounts to 6 inches from Arkansas to
the western Great Lakes through Wednesday morning.  This rainfall
may produce flash flooding, and is forecast to produce new and
renewed minor to moderate river flooding across portions of the
lower Missouri and mid to upper Mississippi Valleys. Smaller
streams and rivers across southeast Louisiana, southern
Mississippi, and eastern Arkansas have already begun to rise.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$

Forecaster Lamers

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  09/0900Z 36.8N  92.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 12H  09/1800Z 39.9N  91.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  10/0600Z 44.5N  89.3W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  10/1800Z 49.1N  85.1W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net