[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Jun 7 16:31:34 CDT 2020
WTUS84 KMOB 072131
HLSMOB
ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-080545-
Tropical Storm Cristobal Local Statement Advisory Number 25
National Weather Service Mobile AL AL032020
431 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2020
**SQUALLS WITH TROPICAL-STORM FORCE WINDS WILL IMPACT THE ALABAMA AND
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE COASTAL ARES AND PORTIONS OF INLAND
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- None
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Baldwin Central,
Baldwin Coastal, Escambia Coastal, George, Mobile Central,
Mobile Coastal, Mobile Inland, Okaloosa Coastal, Santa Rosa
Coastal, and Stone
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 150 miles southwest of Mobile AL or about 190 miles
west-southwest of Pensacola FL
- 29.1N 89.9W
- Storm Intensity 50 mph
- Movement North or 355 degrees at 7 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
At 4:00 PM CDT, Tropical Storm Cristobal is forecast to make landfall
across the southeast Louisiana coast this evening. Cristobal will then
weaken as it moves north-northwestward across Louisiana on Monday.
Tropical Storm Force winds, especially in gusts, will impact coastal
Alabama, the western Florida Panhandle, and inland portions of
southeast Mississippi tonight before gradually diminishing Monday
morning.
Coastal Flooding will persist through Monday along coastal Alabama and
the western Florida Panhandle with inundation of 1 to 3 feet through
Monday, especially around the time of high tide. The greatest potential
for storm surge will be across surge prone locations along northern
Mobile Bay, where inundation near 3 feet will be likely. High Surf is
occurring and will continue with breaker heights of 9 to 12 feet
through Monday.
Additional rainfall amounts between 3 and 7 inches are expected across
southeast Mississippi and portions of southwest Alabama, with isolated
higher amounts up to 12 inches for the entire event possible. The
highest totals are expected across southeast Mississippi. Rainfall
amounts between 1 and 3 inches are expected over inland Alabama and the
western Florida Panhandle, with isolated higher amounts. This will
lead to flash flooding, especially in poor drainage and urban areas.
A few tornadoes will be possible after mid-evening and into the late
night hours across southeast Mississippi, southwest Alabama, and the
western Florida Panhandle.
Prepare now for damaging winds, minor coastal flooding, strong rip
currents, periods of heavy rainfall, and a few tornadoes, especially
across locations within the Tropical Storm Warning area.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
devastating impacts across interior southeast Mississippi and portions
of extreme southwest Alabama. Potential impacts include:
- Extreme rainfall flooding may prompt numerous evacuations and
rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may overwhelmingly overflow their banks
in many places with deep moving water. Small streams, creeks,
canals, and ditches may become raging rivers. In mountain
areas, deadly runoff may rage down valleys while increasing
susceptibility to rockslides and mudslides. Flood control
systems and barriers may become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter numerous structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
away. Numerous places where flood waters may cover escape
routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of raging water
with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become very
dangerous. Numerous road and bridge closures with some weakened
or washed out.
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
limited to extensive impacts across the remainder of southwest and
south central Alabama and the western Florida panhandle.
* SURGE:
Protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
along the coast of Alabama and the western Florida panhandle, including
all local bays and sounds. Potential impacts in this area include:
- Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
- Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
surge water covers the road.
- Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
- Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.
Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.,
little to no impact is anticipated.
* WIND:
Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
portions of interior southeast Mississippi, coastal Alabama, and near
the coast of the western Florida panhandle. Potential impacts in this
area include:
- Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
- Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
- A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
bridges and other elevated roadways.
- Scattered power and communications outages.
Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.,
little to no impact is anticipated.
* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts
across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south
central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.. Potential
impacts include:
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
pulled from moorings.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.
For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move,
relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help keep
roadways open for those under evacuation orders.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.
If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in
which you are staying and the name of the county or parish in which
it resides. Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay
attention for instructions from local authorities.
Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown!
If a Tornado Warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter
quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not
prone to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter
options.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information...please
refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number
or website listed below.
- Coastal Alabama:
- Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or www.mcema.net
- Northwest Florida:
- Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or bereadyescambia.com
- Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
- Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or www.co.okaloosa.fl.us/ps/home
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mobile AL around 10 PM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.
$$
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