[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KLCH 060918
HLSLCH
LAZ052>055-061730-

Tropical Storm Cristobal Local Statement Advisory Number 19
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA  AL032020
418 AM CDT Sat Jun 6 2020

This product covers SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS

**CRISTOBAL CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
 GULF OF MEXICO**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Iberia, Lower St.
      Martin, St. Mary, and Vermilion

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 460 miles south-southeast of Cameron LA or about 410
      miles south of Morgan City LA
    - 23.8N 90.2W
    - Storm Intensity 45 mph
    - Movement North or 350 degrees at 14 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

At 4 AM CDT, the center of Tropical Storm Cristobal was located near
latitude 23.8 North, longitude 90.2 West. Cristobal is moving toward
the north near 14 mph, and this general motion is expected to continue
for the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of
Cristobal will move over the central Gulf of Mexico on Saturday, and be
near the northern Gulf of Mexico coast on Sunday. Cristobal's center
is then forecast to move inland across Louisiana late Sunday and
Monday.

Tropical storm force winds are likely within the Tropical Storm
Warning over the coastal waters beginning Saturday night and possible
within the Tropical Storm Watch along the coast early Sunday.

There is the potential for heavy rainfall that may lead to flash
flooding over portions of south central Louisiana late Sunday into
Monday.

Coastal flooding from storm surge of 1 to 3 feet above the ground will
also be possible by late Sunday into early Monday, mainly around the
Vermilion and Atchafalaya Bays.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across south central Louisiana. Potential impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across southwest and central Louisiana.

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
southern and central Louisiana. Potential impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* SURGE:
Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
across south central Louisiana. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland along rivers and bayous that drain into the Gulf.
    - Sections of roads and parking lots near bodies of water may
      become overspread with surge water. Driving conditions
      dangerous in places where surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, and piers.
      A few small craft broken away from moorings.

Elsewhere across southwest Louisiana and southeast Texas, little to no
impact is anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across south
central Louisiana. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

Elsewhere across southwest Louisiana and southeast Texas, little to no
impact is anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
WATCH/WARNING PHASE - Listen to local official for recommended
preparedness actions, including possible evacuation. If ordered to
evacuate, do so immediately.


* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news outlets
for official storm information. Listen for possible changes to the
forecast.

There is a threat from tornadoes with this storm. Have multiple ways
to receive Tornado Warnings. Be ready to shelter quickly.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Lake Charles LA around 11 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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