[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Jun 5 10:59:10 CDT 2020
WTUS84 KMOB 051558
HLSMOB
ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-060000-
Tropical Depression Cristobal Local Statement Advisory Number 16
National Weather Service Mobile AL AL032020
1058 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2020
This product covers portions of southwest Alabama...northwest Florida...south
central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.
**TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF ALABAMA**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Baldwin Central,
Baldwin Coastal, Mobile Central, and Mobile Coastal
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Baldwin Central,
Baldwin Coastal, Mobile Central, and Mobile Coastal
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 750 miles south of Mobile AL or about 740 miles
south-southwest of Pensacola FL
- 20.0N 89.9W
- Storm Intensity 35 mph
- Movement North or 360 degrees at 12 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
At 10:00 AM CDT, Tropical Depression Cristobal will continue to
advance northward from the Yucatan Penisula, and forecast to
strengthen to a Tropical Storm before reaching the north central Gulf
of Mexico by noon Sunday. The system is then forecast to approach the
southern Louisiana coast Sunday evening, and then move northward
across the state of Louisiana throughout the day Monday.
Tropical Storm Force winds will be possible along the coastal sections
of Alabama Saturday night and Sunday.
Coastal Flooding is possible along Alabama and the western Florida
panhandle with inundation of 2 to 3 feet Sunday through Monday
afternoon, especially around the time of high tide. High Surf is
likely with breaker heights of 8 to 11 feet developing late Saturday
night through Monday afternoon.
Rainfall amounts between 4 and 6 inches, with isolated higher amounts
will be possible, especially across the southern portions of Mobile
and Baldwin counties and inland section of southeast Mississippi. This
may lead to localized flooding, mainly in poor drainage areas.
Prepare now for potentially damaging winds, minor coastal flooding,
strong rip currents, and periods of heavy rainfall across locations in
the Tropical Storm Watch area.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* SURGE:
Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
across along Alabama and the western Florida panhandle. Potential
impacts in this area include:
- Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
- Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
surge water covers the road.
- Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
- Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.
* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across the
coastal sections of Alabama. Potential impacts in this area include:
- Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
- Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
- A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
bridges and other elevated roadways.
- Scattered power and communications outages.
Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.,
little to no impact is anticipated.
* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across the southern portions of Mobile and Baldwin counties and
inland section of southeast Mississippi. Potential impacts include:
- Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
ditches overflow.
- Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.
Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across along and south of U.S. Highway 84.
* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across the
coastal sections of Alabama and the western Florida panhandle.
Potential impacts include:
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
pulled from moorings.
Elsewhere across portions of southwest Alabama...northwest
Florida...south central Alabama...and inland southeast Mississippi.,
little to no impact is anticipated.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.
For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move,
relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help keep
roadways open for those under evacuation orders.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.
When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.
If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, plan to move to safe shelter.
If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or poor
drainage area, in a valley, or near an already swollen river, plan to
move to safe shelter on higher ground.
Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that
are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of
others.
When securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded
as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of
strong gusty winds or flooding can cause certain preparedness
activities to become unsafe.
Be sure to let friends and family members know of your intentions for
weathering the storm and your whereabouts. Have someone located away
from the threatened area serve as your point of contact. Share vital
contact information with others. Keep cell phones handy and charged.
Check on those who may not be fully aware of the situation or who are
unable to make personal preparations.
If you are a visitor, know the name of the county or parish in which
you are located and where it is relative to current watches and
warnings. If staying at a hotel, ask the management staff about their
onsite disaster plan. Listen for evacuation orders, especially
pertaining to area visitors.
Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.
There is a threat from tornadoes with this storm. Have multiple ways
to receive Tornado Warnings. Be ready to shelter quickly.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For the latest detailed evacuation and shelter information...please
refer to your local emergency management agency at the phone number
or website listed below.
- Coastal Alabama:
- Baldwin County: 251-972-6807 or
www.baldwincountyal.gov/departments/EMA
- Mobile County: 251-460-8000 or www.mcema.net
- Northwest Florida:
- Escambia County: 850-471-6400 or bereadyescambia.com
- Santa Rosa County: 850-983-5360 www.santarosa.fl.gov/emergency
- Okaloosa County: 850-651-7150 or www.co.okaloosa.fl.us/ps/home
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Mobile AL around 4 PM CDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.
$$
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