[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Jun 5 10:29:08 CDT 2020


WTUS84 KLIX 051528
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LAZ034>037-039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-052330-

Tropical Depression Cristobal Local Statement Advisory Number 16
National Weather Service New Orleans LA  AL032020
1028 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2020

This product covers Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi

**Tropical Storm Watches Now In Effect For The North Central Gulf**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Ascension,
      Assumption, Jackson, Livingston, Lower Terrebonne, Orleans,
      Southern Tangipahoa, St. Charles, St. James, St. John The
      Baptist, St. Tammany, Upper Jefferson, Upper Lafourche, Upper
      Plaquemines, Upper St. Bernard, and Upper Terrebonne
    - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch have been issued
      for Hancock, Harrison, Lower Jefferson, Lower Lafourche, Lower
      Plaquemines, and Lower St. Bernard

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Ascension, Assumption,
      Jackson, Livingston, Lower Terrebonne, Orleans, Southern
      Tangipahoa, St. Charles, St. James, St. John The Baptist, St.
      Tammany, Upper Jefferson, Upper Lafourche, Upper Plaquemines,
      Upper St. Bernard, and Upper Terrebonne
    - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch are in effect for
      Hancock, Harrison, Lower Jefferson, Lower Lafourche, Lower
      Plaquemines, and Lower St. Bernard

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 690 miles south of New Orleans LA or about 630 miles
      south of Grand Isle LA
    - 20.0N 89.9W
    - Storm Intensity 35 mph
    - Movement North or 360 degrees at 12 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Depression Cristobal is forecast to move northward toward the
north central Gulf over the next couple days. As it moves northward,
it is expected to strengthen to a Tropical Storm as it approaches the
Louisiana coastline. It will then move through our area heading in a
north-northwest direction and is expected to be out of our area by
Wednesday.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across Southeast Louisiana and Southern Mississippi. Potential
impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid inundation
      at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage areas. Some
      streets and parking lots take on moving water as storm drains and
      retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions become hazardous.
      Some road and bridge closures.


* SURGE:
Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant impacts
across portions of coastal Louisiana and coastal Mississippi.
Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

Also, prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts outside of the storm surge watch area.

Elsewhere across Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi, little to
no impact is anticipated.

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across
Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi. Potential impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
WATCH/WARNING PHASE - Listen to local official for recommended
preparedness actions, including possible evacuation. If ordered to
evacuate, do so immediately.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, plan to move to safe shelter.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or poor
drainage area, in a valley, or near an already swollen river, plan to
move to safe shelter on higher ground.

Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that
are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of
others.

When securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded
as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of
strong gusty winds or flooding can cause certain preparedness
activities to become unsafe.

Be sure to let friends and family members know of your intentions for
weathering the storm and your whereabouts. Have someone located away
from the threatened area serve as your point of contact. Share vital
contact information with others. Keep cell phones handy and charged.

Check on those who may not be fully aware of the situation or who are
unable to make personal preparations.

If you are a visitor, know the name of the county or parish in which
you are located and where it is relative to current watches and
warnings. If staying at a hotel, ask the management staff about their
onsite disaster plan. Listen for evacuation orders, especially
pertaining to area visitors.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.

There is a threat from tornadoes with this storm. Have multiple ways
to receive Tornado Warnings. Be ready to shelter quickly.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in New Orleans LA around 5 PM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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