[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 301148
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Aug 30 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave are
gradually moving westward away from the Lesser Antilles. Although
the disturbance remains disorganized at this time, some gradual
development of this system is possible during the next several days
while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph across the Caribbean Sea.
Regardless of development, this system will continue to produce
gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall across portions of the
Windward and Leeward Islands this morning before diminishing this
afternoon.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

A westward-moving tropical wave is located over the eastern Atlantic
Ocean, several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.
This system is producing limited shower activity, and any further
development is expected to be slow to occur while it moves slowly
westward over the eastern or central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

An area of low pressure is expected to form off the southeastern
coast of the United States in a day or two. Subsequent development
of this system is possible, and a tropical depression is likely to
form by the middle of the week while the system moves northeastward
or east-northeastward, initially parallel to the southeastern coast
of the U.S. and then away from land.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

A new tropical wave is expected to emerge off the coast of Africa
in a couple of days.  Some gradual development of this system will
be possible through the end of the week while it moves slowly
westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart
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