[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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Fri Aug 28 21:52:45 CDT 2020


WTNT33 KWNH 290252
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Laura Advisory Number  37
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD   AL132020
1000 PM CDT Fri Aug 28 2020

...LAURA CONTINUING TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...
...FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES INTO SATURDAY...
...A FEW TORNADOES REMAIN POSSIBLE...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.7N 86.9W
ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM NE OF MEMPHIS TENNESSEE
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM ENE OF PADUCAH KENTUCKY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 80 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
Flash Flood Watches are posted for portions of the Tennessee
Valley and Mid Atlantic.

No coastal watches or warnings in effect.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Laura
was located near latitude 37.7 North, longitude 86.9 West. The
depression is moving toward the east near 24 mph (39 km/h), and this
motion is expected to continue through the overnight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Eventually, the remains of Laura will cross the central
Appalachians Saturday, before becoming absorbed by an approaching
cold front that is forecast to move off the mid-Atlantic coastline
by late Saturday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Additional rainfall of 1 to 3 inches, with maximum
amounts to 5 inches forecast across western and central Kentucky
and Tennessee, and south into northern Alabama and Mississippi.

One to 2 inches, with isolated totals to 4 inches will be
possible over southern Louisiana, Mississippi, and
Alabama.

One to 3 inches possible over the central and southern Appalachians
and the mid-Atlantic states through Saturday.

This rainfall will continue to cause isolated flash and urban
flooding, and small streams and creeks to overflow their banks
across the aforementioned regions. Minor to moderate river flooding
is occurring or forecast in Louisiana, Arkansas, and northern
Mississippi.

WIND:  Gusty winds will accompany the tropical depression as it
moves along the Lower Ohio Valley through tonight.

TORNADOES:  A few tornadoes remain possible overnight, mainly over
the Tennessee Valley. The risk for a couple of tornadoes should
redevelop Saturday afternoon and evening over parts of the
mid-Atlantic from Virginia to North Carolina.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Wpc Forecaster

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  29/0300Z 37.7N  86.9W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 12H  29/1200Z 38.2N  82.8W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND/REMNT LOW
 24H  30/0000Z 38.3N  74.8W   35 KT  40 MPH...INLAND/REMNT LOW
 36H  30/1200Z 38.5N  69.5W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 48H  31/0000Z 41.5N  62.0W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 60H  31/1200Z 43.5N  53.4W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 72H  01/0000Z...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
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