[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

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Fri Aug 28 16:00:11 CDT 2020


WTNT33 KWNH 282100
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Laura Advisory Number  36
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD   AL132020
500 PM EDT Fri Aug 28 2020

...LAURA SLOWLY LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...
...FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES...
...A FEW TORNADOES REMAIN POSSIBLE...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.2N 88.9W
ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM NW OF PADUCAH KENTUCKY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 77 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
Flash Flood Watches are posted for portions of Kentucky, Tennessee,
and central Alabama.

Tornado Watches are in effect for parts of Kentucky, Middle
Tennessee, as well as northern Mississippi and Alabama.

No coastal watches or warnings in effect.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Laura
was located near latitude 37.2 North, longitude 88.9 West. The
depression is moving toward the east-northeast near 21 mph (33 km/h)
and this motion is expected to continue through the evening.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Eventually, the remains of Laura will cross the central
Appalachians Saturday, before becoming absorbed by an approaching
cold front that is forecast to move off the mid-Atlantic coastline
by late Saturday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Additional rainfall of 1 to 3 inches, with maximum
amounts to 5 inches forecast across western and central Kentucky
and Tennessee, and south into northern Alabama and Mississippi.

One to 2 inches, with isolated totals to 4 inches will be
possible over southern Louisiana, Mississippi, and
Alabama.

One to 3 inches possible over the central and southern Appalachians
and the mid-Atlantic states through Saturday.

This rainfall will continue to cause isolated flash and urban
flooding, and small streams and creeks to overflow their banks
across the aforementioned regions. Minor to moderate river flooding
is occurring or forecast in Louisiana, Arkansas, and northern
Mississippi.

WIND:  Gusty winds will accompany the tropical depression as it
moves along the Lower Ohio Valley through tonight.

TORNADOES:  A few tornadoes remain possible, mainly over parts of
Mississippi, Alabama, and Tennessee. The risk for a couple
of tornadoes should redevelop Saturday afternoon and evening over
parts of the mid-Atlantic from Virginia to North Carolina.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Carbin/Hurley

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  28/2100Z 37.2N  88.9W   25 KT  30 MPH
 12H  29/0600Z 37.8N  85.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 24H  29/1800Z 38.7N  79.4W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 36H  30/0600Z 39.4N  73.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 48H  30/1800Z 42.6N  63.0W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 60H  31/0600Z 45.0N  55.4W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 72H  31/1800Z 51.0N  51.4W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
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