[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Aug 16 03:47:29 CDT 2020
WTNT42 KNHC 160847
TCDAT2
Post-Tropical Cyclone Kyle Discussion Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122020
500 AM AST Sun Aug 16 2020
Shortwave infrared satellite imagery and earlier ASCAT data
indicate that Kyle's circulation has become very elongated, and the
center has become ill defined. Model analyses and satellite imagery
also suggest that the low is now attached to a prominent
warm/stationary front to its east and a weaker trailing cold front
to its southwest. Therefore, Kyle has become an extratropical low,
and its maximum winds are estimated to be 35 kt based on the earlier
ASCAT data. Global models indicate that Kyle's winds should
continue to decrease over the next couple of days, with the system
dissipating or becoming absorbed by another area of low pressure in
about 48 hours.
The initial motion is eastward, or 080/17 kt. Since Kyle is
embedded in zonal mid-latitude flow, this general heading and speed
are expected to continue during the next day or two until the
cyclone dissipates.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 16/0900Z 40.0N 58.9W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
12H 16/1800Z 40.4N 55.7W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24H 17/0600Z 40.4N 51.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36H 17/1800Z 39.9N 47.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 18/0600Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Berg
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net
More information about the Tropical
mailing list