[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Sep 26 09:53:41 CDT 2019


WTNT32 KNHC 261453
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Karen Advisory Number  18
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL122019
1100 AM AST Thu Sep 26 2019

...KAREN SLIGHTLY STRONGER...
...BUT FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW IN A FEW DAYS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.6N 63.3W
ABOUT 405 MI...650 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Karen was
located near latitude 26.6 North, longitude 63.3 West.  Karen is
moving toward the north-northeast near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this
motion is expected to continue with a decrease in forward speed
through this evening.  Karen is then forecast to make a slow
clockwise loop, ultimately moving westward by early Sunday.

Satellite-derived wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds
are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.  Weakening is forecast
by the weekend, and Karen is expected to become a remnant low by
Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
northwest of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Berg
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