[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Sep 22 16:16:37 CDT 2019
WTCA82 TJSJ 222116
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-230530-
Tropical Storm Karen Local Statement Advisory Number 3
National Weather Service San Juan PR AL122019
516 PM AST Sun Sep 22 2019
This product covers PUERTO RICO AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS
**Tropical Storm Karen expected to approach the islands on Tuesday**
NEW INFORMATION
---------------
* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- None
* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Central Interior,
Culebra, Eastern Interior, Mayaguez and Vicinity, North
Central, Northeast, Northwest, Ponce and Vicinity, San Juan and
Vicinity, Southeast, Southwest, St Croix, St.Thomas...St.
John...and Adjacent Islands, Vieques, and Western Interior
* STORM INFORMATION:
- About 440 miles south-southeast of San Juan PR or about 440
miles southeast of Ponce PR or about 400 miles south-southeast
of Saint Thomas VI
- 12.9N 62.7W
- Storm Intensity 40 mph
- Movement West-northwest or 295 degrees at 13 mph
SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
Based on the latest forecast track, tropical storm force winds are
expected to start affecting the local Caribbean waters late Monday
night into Tuesday morning. Most of the winds associated with Karen are
located in the northeast and southeast quadrant, therefore tropical-
force winds are possible across the U.S. Virgin Islands, Culebra,
Vieques and the eastern third of Puerto Rico on Tuesday. Rainfall
activity associated with Tropical Storm Karen can start as early as
late Monday night into early Tuesday morning and continue through
Wednesday. Rough and hazardous seas across the Caribbean waters and
Anegada Passage are expected through at least Wednesday.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands.
Potential impacts include:
- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, arroyos, and
ditches may become dangerous rivers. In mountain areas,
destructive runoff may run quickly down valleys while
increasing susceptibility to rockslides and mudslides. Flood
control systems and barriers may become stressed.
- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across south and east Puerto Rico as well as across the U.S.
Virgin Islands.
* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible impacts across EASTERN
PUERTO RICO AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS. Potential impacts include:
- Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
- Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
- A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
bridges and other elevated roadways.
- Scattered power and communications outages.
* SURGE:
Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
across south and east Puerto Rico, Culebra, Vieques and the U.S. Virgin
Islands. Potential impacts in this area include:
- Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
- Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
surge water covers the road.
- Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
- Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.
* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
eastern PR, Culebra, Vieques and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Potential
impacts include:
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
pulled from moorings.
Elsewhere across PUERTO RICO AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS, little to no
impact is anticipated.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------
* EVACUATIONS:
If you are exceptionally vulnerable to wind or water hazards from
tropical systems, consider voluntary evacuation, especially if being
officially recommended. Relocate to a predetermined shelter or safe
destination.
If evacuating away from the area or relocating to a nearby shelter,
leave early before weather conditions become hazardous.
Do not return to evacuated areas until hazardous winds diminish and
flood waters abate.
* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Visitors to the area should become familiar with nearby surroundings.
If you are a visitor, know the name of the county or parish in which
you are located and where it is relative to current watches and
warnings. If staying at a hotel, ask the management staff about their
onsite disaster plan. Listen for evacuation orders, especially
pertaining to area visitors.
Closely monitor NOAA Weather Radio or other local news outlets for
official storm information. Listen for possible changes to the
forecast.
* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org
NEXT UPDATE
-----------
The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in San Juan PR around 8 PM AST, or sooner if conditions
warrant.
$$
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net
More information about the Tropical
mailing list