[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Tropical Depression Nine Local Statement Advisory Number 5
National Weather Service Melbourne FL  AL092019
533 PM EDT Fri Sep 13 2019

This product covers EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA

**TROPICAL DEPRESSION 9 HAS FORMED NEAR THE BAHAMAS AND IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN OFFSHORE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA**

**TROPICAL STORM WATCHES REMAIN IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST CENTRAL
 FLORIDA COAST**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Coastal Volusia, Indian
      River, Martin, Northern Brevard, Southern Brevard, and St. Lucie

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 390 miles east-southeast of Cape Canaveral FL or about
      340 miles east-southeast of Stuart FL
    - 25.6N 75.0W
    - Storm Intensity 30 mph
    - Movement Northwest or 305 degrees at 8 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

The tropical disturbance east of the central Bahamas has become
Tropical Depression 9. The Depression is forecast to move northwest
overnight into early Saturday morning, remaining just east of the
northwestern Bahamas. It is expected to become a tropical storm as it
moves north-northwest, parallel and well offshore the central Florida
Atlantic coast Saturday through Saturday night. This will keep impacts
from the system confined to immediate coastal areas, mainly in Volusia
and Brevard Counties.

A tropical storm watch remains in effect for all coastal counties in
East Central Florida. This includes Martin, Saint Lucie, Indian River,
Brevard, and Volusia Counties.

Coverage of showers and squalls is expected to increase tonight through
Saturday night over the adjacent Atlantic waters. This will bring the
threat of tropical storm force wind gusts, along with periods of heavy
rain to coastal areas, mainly north of Sebastian Inlet, tonight into
Saturday night. This threat will be highest along the barrier islands
where wind gusts could reach 40 to 45 mph. Squalls could push well
inland and produce wind gusts approaching tropical storm force.

Rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches are forecast for the event, along
with isolated amounts up to 5 inches in coastal Volusia and Brevard
Counties. This could cause localized temporary inundation of roads,
and other poorly drained urban and low lying areas. Ponding of water on
highways is likely to occur.

Conditions along the immediate coast, including the beaches and surf
are expected to deteriorate this weekend. The surf is expected to
become increasingly rough with large breaking waves, and additional
minor to moderate beach erosion around the times of high tide through
early Sunday morning. The threat for numerous strong and potentially
deadly Rip Currents will remain high through this weekend.

The next high three tide cycles will occur along the Florida east
coast around 830 PM tonight, between 845 AM and 900 AM Saturday
morning, and between 900 PM and 915 PM Saturday night.

Persons in east central Florida should keep track of the latest
forecasts and statements from the National Hurricane Center, and your
National Weather Service office in Melbourne through this weekend.


POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible limited
impacts across east central Florida, mainly over Brevard and Volusia
Counties. Potential impacts include:
    - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise. Small streams, creeks,
      canals and ditches may become swollen and overflow in spots.
    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually
      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water
      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become
      near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge
      closures.


* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts along the
coast, especially the barrier islands of Brevard and Volusia Counties.
Potential impacts in this area include:

    - Isolated damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and
      unanchored mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown
      about.
    - A few large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Hazardous driving conditions on bridges and other elevated
      roadways.
    - Isolated power and communications outages.


* TORNADOES:
The situation will be unfavorable for tornadoes to develop anywhere in
east central Florida.


* SURGE:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time along the central
Florida Atlantic coast.


Elsewhere across EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA, little to no impact is
anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions. Now
is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies kit.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain and damaging
wind gusts extend well away from the center of the storm.

Check on those who may not be fully aware of the situation or who are
unable to make personal preparations.

If you are a visitor, know the name of the county in which you are
located and where it is relative to current watches and warnings.
If staying at a hotel, ask the management staff about their onsite
disaster plan.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org


NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Melbourne FL around Midnight EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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