[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Sep 6 07:19:10 CDT 2019


WTUS82 KMHX 061218
HLSMHX
NCZ029-044>047-079>081-091-092-094-193>196-198-199-203>205-062030-

Hurricane Dorian Local Statement Intermediate Advisory Number 52A
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC  AL052019
818 AM EDT Fri Sep 6 2019

This product covers Eastern North Carolina

**GREATEST IMPACTS FROM HURRICANE DORIAN ONGOING IN EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - The Tropical Storm Warning has been cancelled for Duplin
    - The Storm Surge Warning has been cancelled for Coastal Onslow,
      Inland Onslow, and Jones

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Coastal Onslow, Inland
      Onslow, Jones, and Northern Craven
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect for
      Beaufort, East Carteret, Hatteras Island, Mainland Dare,
      Mainland Hyde, Northern Outer Banks, Ocracoke Island, Pamlico,
      Southern Craven, Tyrrell, Washington, and West Carteret
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Greene, Lenoir,
      Martin, and Pitt

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 10 miles west-southwest of Buxton NC or about 70 miles
      east-northeast of Morehead City NC
    - 35.2N 75.7W
    - Storm Intensity 90 mph
    - Movement Northeast or 50 degrees at 14 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Dangerous Hurricane Dorian will continue to bring major impacts to
eastern North Carolina through tonight. The center of Dorian is now
south of Cape Hatteras, bringing the greatest impacts to the Outer
Banks. Elsewhere, significant impacts will continue across most of
eastern North Carolina.

Life threatening storm surge impacts will develop very quickly along
the soundside Outer Banks today, especially south of Oregon Inlet.
Storm surge inundation of up to 4 to 7 feet above ground is expected
with very rapid water level rises anticipated on the soundside Outer
Banks, and potentially Downeast Carteret County. Significant storm
surge is also possible across other portions of the inland sounds and
rivers, including the Pamlico Sound, Albemarle Sound, Alligator River,
Neuse River, Pamlico River, and smaller tidal rivers.

Very high surf and large breaking waves will continue to bring
moderate to significant beach erosion and ocean overwash along the
North Carolina coast through tonight. Overwash and sound side flooding
will likely cause issues on Highway 12 on the Outer Banks beginning
tonight, and could continue into Saturday. Vulnerable areas could
experience erosion or overwash for multiple high tide cycles.

Periods of very heavy rainfall will continue across Eastern North
Carolina, with additional flash flooding expected. Generally around
4 to 8 inches of rainfall has already fallen across the area, with
2 to 4 inches, with isolated higher amounts, of additional rainfall
expected mainly across the Outer Banks and northeast North Carolina.
Some minor to moderate river flooding is also possible into the
weekend, especially for smaller rivers and creeks east of the coastal
plain. Do not drive through flooded areas...turn around dont drown!

Tropical storm force winds will continue into this afternoon for much
of the area. Hurricane force winds will mainly be confined to coastal
areas. Strong winds will have the ability to bring down trees, damage
structures, and cause widespread power outages.

A few tornadoes remain possible mainly north of the center of
circulation of the storm.

Very dangerous marine conditions will continue with seas building to
15 to 25 feet and higher. A high threat of rip currents will continue
for all area beaches and it is advised to stay out of the water.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Potential impacts from the main surge event are now unfolding across
the soundside Outer Banks. Remain well away from life-threatening
surge having possible extensive impacts. If realized, these impacts
include:
    - Extremely fast water level rises.
- Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding
      accentuated by battering waves. Structural damage to buildings,
      with several washing away. Damage compounded by floating
      debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an extended period.
    - Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads
      washed out or severely flooded. Flood control systems and
      barriers may become stressed.
    - Severe beach erosion with significant dune loss.
    - Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many
      small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and stranded.

Potential impacts from the main surge event are also now unfolding
across much of coastal eastern North Carolina. Remain well away from
life-threatening surge having additional significant impacts.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across
much of eastern North Carolina. Remain well guarded against
life-threatening flood waters having additional extensive impacts.
If realized, these impacts include:
    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
      multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may
      become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may
      become stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
      Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
      underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
      Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

* WIND:
Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding across
the Outer Banks and Pamlico Sound area. Remain well sheltered from
life-threatening wind having additional extensive impacts. If realized,
these impacts include:
    - Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having
      window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural
      damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed.
      Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be
      uninhabitable for weeks.
    - Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
      roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways, and
      access routes impassable.
    - Large areas with power and communications outages.

Potential impacts from the main wind event are also now unfolding
across inland eastern North Carolina. Remain well sheltered from
dangerous wind having additional limited to significant impacts.

* TORNADOES:
Potential impacts from tornadoes are still unfolding across northeast
North Carolina. Remain well braced against a tornado event having
additional limited impacts. If realized, these impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Do not enter evacuated areas until officials have given the all
clear to return.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to stay inside and away from windows. Listen for
updates and be ready in case you lose electrical power. Keep a
battery-powered radio, charged cell phone and flashlight handy.

Do not venture outside while in the eye of a hurricane as any
improvement in weather will only be temporary. Once the eye passes,
conditions will become life threatening as winds immediately return
to dangerous speeds, so remain safely sheltered from the storm.

Do not be a thrill seeker or risk your life for senseless photos or
videos.

If you are prone to flooding or in an area under a storm surge watch
or warning, be prepared for the possibility of a quick and dramatic
rise in water levels.

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Newport/Morehead City NC around 12 PM EDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.

$$
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