[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Hurricane Dorian Local Statement Advisory Number 52
National Weather Service Wakefield VA  AL052019
539 AM EDT Fri Sep 6 2019

This product covers CENTRAL AND EASTERN VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST NORTH
CAROLINA...AND THE LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE

**EYE OF DORIAN PASSING JUST EAST OF CAPE LOOKOUT**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect for
      Camden, Chowan, Eastern Currituck, Pasquotank, Perquimans, and
      Western Currituck
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
      for Bertie, Chesapeake, Gates, Hampton/Poquoson, Hertford, Isle
      of Wight, James City, Newport News, Norfolk/Portsmouth,
      Suffolk, Surry, and Virginia Beach
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Accomack, Charles
      City, Dorchester, Eastern Essex, Eastern King William, Eastern
      King and Queen, Gloucester, Greensville, Inland Worcester,
      Lancaster, Maryland Beaches, Mathews, Middlesex, New Kent,
      Northampton, Northampton, Northumberland, Prince George,
      Richmond, Somerset, Southampton, Sussex, Westmoreland,
      Wicomico, and York

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 270 miles south-southwest of Ocean City MD or about 160
      miles south of Norfolk VA
    - 34.6N 76.2W
    - Storm Intensity 90 mph
    - Movement Northeast or 50 degrees at 14 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Hurricane Dorian remains a dangerous hurricane. Dorian has pushed just
east of Cape Lookout, North Carolina early this morning and will race
off to the northeast late today into Saturday. Significant impacts from
Dorian are expected across northeast North Carolina, eastern Virginia
and the lower Maryland eastern shore today into tonight.

The strongest wind is expected this morning into early afternoon
across Northeast North Carolina and Eastern Virginia. Gusts close to
tropical storm force are already occurring across northeast North
Carolina and over the lower Chesapeake Bay. These winds will continue
to increase tonight into Friday. Hurricane force wind is possible,
especially over coastal communities of Northeast North Carolina. In
addition, a few hurricane force gusts are possible along Virginia
Atlantic coast south of Cape Charles. This strong wind will knock down
trees and weakened structures, and cause power outages.

Storm surge impacts are expected with Hurricane Dorian. Based on the
current forecast, inundation of 2 to 3 feet above ground is expected
from Hampton Roads into coastal Northeast North Carolina. Inundation of
1 to 2 feet is possible north of Hampton Roads and along the eastern
shore. Large breaking waves will likely result in moderate to
significant beach erosion and ocean overwash along the coasts of
Southeast Virginia and Northeast North Carolina. Vulnerable areas could
experience erosion at multiple high tide cycles.

Very dangerous marine conditions are expected with seas 12 to 20 feet
and potentially higher. A high threat of rip currents will continue
for all area beaches and it is advised to stay out of the water.

Hurricane Dorian will produce heavy rainfall across far southeast
Virginia and northeast North Carolina, with moderate to significant
impacts possible. Storm total rainfall of 4 to 10 inches can be
expected over southeast Virginia and northeast North Carolina, with
locally higher amounts possible along the coast of northeast North
Carolina up into the eastern Tidewater area. Rainfall amounts over the
Virginia Eastern Shore are forecast to range from 3 to 6 inches. These
heavy rainfall amounts in a relative short period of time has the
potential to produce flash flooding today through Friday afternoon.
Some minor to moderate river flooding is possible late today and into
the weekend, especially for smaller rivers and creeks.


POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding across
northeast North Carolina and southeast Virginia. Remain well guarded
against life-threatening wind having additional extensive impacts. If
realized, these impacts include:

    - Considerable damage to sturdy buildings, including roof,
      window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile homes severely
      damaged, with some destroyed. Damage accentuated by airborne
      projectiles. Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks.
    - Many large trees snapped or uprooted and roadway signs blown
      over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris including bridges,
      causeways, and access routes.
    - Widespread power and communications outages.

Potential impacts from the main wind event are also now unfolding
across inland areas. Remain well sheltered from dangerous wind having
additional significant impacts.

* SURGE:
Potential impacts from the main surge event are now unfolding across
coastal northeast North Carolina and southeastern Virginia. Remain well
away from life-threatening surge having possible extensive impacts. If
realized, these impacts include:

    - Severe storm surge flooding will likely cause inundation of
      numerous roads and buildings, resulting in a threat to life and
      property. Flooding will likely extend inland from the
      waterfront and shoreline flooding homes, businesses and
      isolating some neighborhoods. Large breaking waves will result
      in additional damage near the shoreline.
    - Numerous roads flooded or washed out.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching some dunes.
    - Severe damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers is
      expected. Small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected marinas and docks.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Do not enter any evacuated areas until officials have given the all
clear to return.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to stay inside and away from windows. Listen for
updates and be ready in case you lose electrical power. Keep a
battery-powered radio, charged cell phone and flashlight handy.

During the peak of the storm be ready to move quickly. Keep your
shoes on and rain-gear handy. Boots and athletic shoes offer the best
foot protection if you become unexpectedly exposed to the weather.

Keep your cell phone charged and in power-saving mode. If you lose
power, use it sparingly and mainly for personal emergencies and
check-ins.

If you are prone to flooding or in an area under a storm surge watch
or warning, be prepared for the possibility of a quick and dramatic
rise in water levels.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see
www.readyvirginia.gov, readync.org or mema.maryland.gov
- For the latest weather and storm information go to
weather.gov/wakefield

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Wakefield VA around 9 am EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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