[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS81 KLWX 050928
HLSLWX
MDZ017-051730-

Hurricane Dorian Local Statement Advisory Number 48
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC  AL052019
528 AM EDT Thu Sep 5 2019

This product covers St Marys County in Maryland.

**Tropical Storm Watch remains in effect for St. Mary's County Maryland**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for St. Marys

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 550 miles south-southwest of Baltimore MD or about 530
      miles south-southwest of Annapolis MD
    - 31.7N 79.5W
    - Storm Intensity 115 mph
    - Movement North or 10 degrees at 8 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

The center of Hurricane Dorian is expected to pass well southeast of
Point Lookout MD Friday afternoon. However, there is the potential
for hazardous impacts to extend into Saint Marys County and adjacent
waters. There is the potential for strong winds to spread onshore
beginning Friday morning continuing through Friday night. Onshore
winds ahead of Dorian are expected to raise water levels along the
shores of the Chesapeake Bay and lower tidal Potomac River. Minor
tidal flooding is expected. Moderate tidal flooding of shoreline
areas is possible, especially on Saturday. Rainfall will likely
reach southern Maryland, but flooding from rainfall is not expected
at this time.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
across St Marys County. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

Elsewhere across Eastern West Virginia, Central and Western Maryland,
Northern and Northwestern Virginia, and District of Columbia, little
to no impact is anticipated.

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across St
Marys County. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports and sheds. Unsecured
      lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across Eastern West Virginia, Central and Western Maryland,
Northern and Northwestern Virginia, and District of Columbia, little
to no impact is anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* WATCH/WARNING PHASE - Listen to local official for recommended
preparedness actions

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Baltimore MD/Washington DC around 12 PM EDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.

$$
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