[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Hurricane Dorian Local Statement Intermediate Advisory Number 44A
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL  AL052019
831 AM EDT Wed Sep 4 2019

This product covers Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia

**TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SPREADING ACROSS PORTIONS OF COASTAL
NORTHEAST FLORIDA**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - The Tropical Storm Warning has been cancelled for Eastern Marion

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect for
      Coastal Flagler and Coastal St. Johns
    - A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Inland Flagler and Inland
      St. Johns
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Brantley, Clay,
      Inland Camden, Inland Duval, Inland Nassau, Northeastern
      Charlton, Putnam, and Wayne
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
      for Inland Glynn
    - A Storm Surge Warning, Tropical Storm Warning, and Hurricane
      Watch are in effect for Coastal Camden, Coastal Duval, Coastal
      Glynn, and Coastal Nassau

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 135 miles east-southeast of Jacksonville FL or about 90
      miles east of Flagler Beach FL
    - 29.5N 79.6W
    - Storm Intensity 105 mph
    - Movement North-northwest or 330 degrees at 8 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Hurricane Dorian remains a powerful hurricane with peak winds of 105 mph
and higher gusts. Dorian continues to move slowly to the northwest at
Tropical storm winds of at least 39 mph are spreading northward across
parts of coastal northeast Florida and soon will be in southeast Georgia
today. Outer rainbands are capable of producing torrential rainfall and
gusts to around 45 mph. Hurricane strength winds or gusts are possible
from Ponte Vedra to Flagler Beach.

Dorian will also bring a threat of storm surge flooding, periods of
heavy rainfall, and large battering waves to the coast. Significant to
severe beach erosion will be likely for the beaches, with the worst
conditions generally from Ponte Vedra southward.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Potential impacts from the main surge event are now unfolding across
beaches of northeast Florida and southeast Georgia. The most dangerous
surge can be expected later today in developed areas and low spots along
the southeast Georgia coast. If realized, these impacts include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having impacts in and
around Satsuma, San Mateo, Welaka, and Palatka.

Elsewhere across Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia, little to
no impact is anticipated.

* WIND:
Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding across
eastern parts of northeast Florida and coastal southeast Georgia.
Remain well sheltered from dangerous wind having possible additional
significant impacts inland areas. If realized, these impacts include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

Potential impacts from the main wind event are also now unfolding
across inland areas adjacent to coastal northeast Florida and southeast
Georgia. Remain well sheltered from hazardous wind having possible
limited impacts.

Elsewhere across Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia, little to
no impact is anticipated.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across
the coastal northeast Florida and southeast Georgia. Remain well guarded
against dangerous flood waters having possible significant impacts.
If realized, these impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across just
inland from the coastal areas. Remain well guarded against locally
hazardous flood waters having possible limited impacts.

Elsewhere across Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia, little to
no impact is anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:

Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions, including
possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so immediately. Let others
know where you are going prior to departure. Secure loose items and pets
in the car, and avoid distracted driving.

If evacuating, follow designated evacuation routes. Seek traffic
information on roadway signs, the radio, and from official sources.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

Now is the time to stay inside and away from windows. Listen for
updates and be ready in case you lose electrical power. Keep a
battery-powered radio, charged cell phone and flashlight handy.

During the peak of the storm be ready to move quickly. Keep your
shoes on and rain gear handy. Boots and athletic shoes offer the best
foot protection if you become unexpectedly exposed to the weather.

Keep your cell phone charged and in power-saving mode. If you lose
power, use it sparingly and mainly for personal emergencies and
check-ins.

Do not venture outside while in the eye of a hurricane as any
improvement in weather will only be temporary. Once the eye passes,
conditions will become life threatening as winds immediately return
to dangerous speeds, so remain safely sheltered from the storm.

Do not be a thrill seeker or risk your life for senseless photos or
videos.

Quickly move to the safest place within your shelter if it begins to
fail, preferably an interior room on the lowest floor as long as
flooding is not a concern.

If you are prone to flooding or in an area under a storm surge watch
or warning, be prepared for the possibility of a quick and dramatic
rise in water levels.

If a tornado warning is issued for your area, quickly move to the
safest place within your shelter. Protect your head and body.

If an Extreme Wind Warning is issued for your area, move to the
safest place within your shelter. Take the same life-saving actions
as if it were a violent tornado.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Jacksonville FL around 12 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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