[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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Hurricane Dorian Local Statement Advisory Number 44
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL  AL052019
520 AM EDT Wed Sep 4 2019

This product covers Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia

**TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SPREADING ACROSS PORTIONS OF COASTAL
NORTHEAST FLORIDA**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for Brantley,
      Northeastern Charlton, and Wayne

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
      for Inland Glynn
    - A Storm Surge Warning, Tropical Storm Warning, and Hurricane
      Watch are in effect for Coastal Camden, Coastal Duval, Coastal
      Glynn, and Coastal Nassau
    - A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Inland Flagler and Inland
      St. Johns
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Brantley, Clay,
      Eastern Marion, Inland Camden, Inland Duval, Inland Nassau,
      Northeastern Charlton, Putnam, and Wayne
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect for
      Coastal Flagler and Coastal St. Johns

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 140 miles southeast of Jacksonville FL or about 100 miles
      east of Flagler Beach FL
    - 29.2N 79.5W
    - Storm Intensity 105 mph
    - Movement North-northwest or 330 degrees at 8 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Hurricane Dorian remains a strong category 2 hurricane with peak
winds of 105 mph and higher gusts. Dorian continues to move slowly to
the northwest, and that continues this evening.

Tropical storm winds of at least 39 mph continue to spread up the northeast Florida
coast. Jacksonville International Airport has recently reported a gust to 45 mph.
These winds will continue to expand into southeast Georgia this morning while
conditions continue to degrade in the southern part of the area. In a spirit of urging
safety, the tropical storm warning has been expanded into eastern Charlton, Brantley,
and Wayne counties in Georgia. Outer rainbands are capable of producing torrential
rainfall and gusts to around 40 mph. Hurricane strength winds or gusts are possible
from Ponte Vedra to Flagler Beach.

Dorian will also bring a threat of storm surge flooding, periods of
heavy rainfall, and large battering waves to the coast. Storm surge may be magnified
in developed areas and low spots along the southeast Georgia coast. Significant to
severe beach erosion will be likely for the beaches, with the worst conditions
generally from Ponte Vedra southward.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Potential impacts from the main surge event are now unfolding across
the beaches of northeast Florida and southeast Georgia. The most dangerous
surge can be expected later today in developed areas and low spots along
the southeast Georgia coast. Remain well away from life-threatening surge
having possible significant impacts. If realized, these impacts include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

* WIND:
Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding across
coastal northeast Florida and southeast Georgia. Remain well sheltered
from dangerous wind having possible significant impacts. If realized,
these impacts include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

Potential impacts from the main wind event are also now unfolding
across inland areas adjacent to coastal northeast Florida and southeast
Georgia. Remain well sheltered from hazardous wind having possible
limited impacts.

Elsewhere across Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia, little to
no impact is anticipated.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across
the immediate coast of northeast Florida and southeast Georgia. Remain
well guarded against dangerous flood waters having possible significant
impacts. If realized, these impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Potential impacts from the flooding rain are still unfolding across
areas just inland from the immediate coast in northeast Florida and
southeast Georgia. Remain well guarded against locally
hazardous flood waters having possible limited impacts.

Elsewhere across Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia, little to
no impact is anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Little to no impacts are anticipated at this time
across Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Do not enter evacuated areas until officials
have given the all clear to return.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to stay inside and away from windows. Listen for
updates and be ready in case you lose electrical power. Keep a
battery-powered radio, charged cell phone and flashlight handy.

Keep your cell phone charged and in power-saving mode. If you lose
power, use it sparingly and mainly for personal emergencies and
check-ins.

Do NOT be a thrill seeker or risk your life for senseless photos or
videos. You will risk not only your life, but those of all who
attempt to rescue you.

If you are prone to flooding or in an area under a storm surge watch
or warning, be prepared for the possibility of a quick and dramatic
rise in water levels.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Jacksonville FL around 11 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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