[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Sep 3 16:09:24 CDT 2019


WTUS82 KILM 032109
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NCZ087-096-099-105>110-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-054>056-058-059-040515-

Hurricane Dorian Local Statement Advisory Number 42
National Weather Service Wilmington NC  AL052019
509 PM EDT Tue Sep 3 2019

This product covers southeast North Carolina and northeast South Carolina

**HURRICANE DORIAN EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - The Hurricane Watch has been upgraded to a Hurricane Warning
      and the Storm Surge Watch has been upgraded to a Storm Surge
      Warning for Coastal Brunswick, Coastal Georgetown, Coastal
      Horry, Coastal New Hanover, Coastal Pender, Inland Brunswick,
      and Inland New Hanover
    - The Hurricane Watch has been upgraded to a Hurricane Warning
      for Central Horry, Inland Georgetown, Inland Pender, and
      Northern Horry
    - A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for Darlington and
      Marlboro
    - The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm
      Warning for Bladen, Columbus, Dillon, Florence, Marion,
      Robeson, and Williamsburg

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect for
      Coastal Brunswick, Coastal Georgetown, Coastal Horry, Coastal
      New Hanover, Coastal Pender, Inland Brunswick, and Inland New
      Hanover
    - A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Central Horry, Inland
      Georgetown, Inland Pender, and Northern Horry
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Bladen, Columbus,
      Darlington, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Marlboro, Robeson, and
      Williamsburg

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 460 miles south of Wilmington NC or about 410 miles south
      of Myrtle Beach SC
    - 27.7N 78.7W
    - Storm Intensity 110 mph
    - Movement Northwest or 325 degrees at 6 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Hurricane Dorian remains a strong hurricane as it tracks north off
the Florida coast. Dorian will make its closest approach to coastal
South and North Carolina this Thursday. Dorian is expected to bring
strong winds, storm surge inundation, flash flooding, rip currents,
and dangerous marine conditions later Wednesday through Thursday
night. The greatest impacts from Dorian will be felt over areas
closest to the coast.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible extensive
impacts across the entire coastline. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding
      enhanced by battering waves. Structural damage to buildings is
      likely, with several potentially washing away. Damage will be
      compounded by floating debris. Some locations may become
      uninhabitable for an extended period.
    - Inundation is likely to impact vulnerable homes along tidal
      creeks and waterways farther inland.
    - Drinking water and sewer services will likely become impacted
      by the storm surge. Surge waters will contain hazardous
      materials.
    - Large sections of coastal roads will become flooded, or
      wash-out altogether.
    - Severe beach erosion is expected with significant dune loss.
      Sands from displaced dunes will likely deposit onto the barrier
      island roads.
    - Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers is
      possible. Many small craft broken away from moorings,
      especially in unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore
      and stranded inland.
    - Navigation may be difficult, especially near inlets and
      waterways, as some navigational aids may be off station or
      missing. Debris is possible in the waterways and other
      navigable channels.

Also, prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across the entire coastline.

* WIND:
Protect against life-threatening wind having possible extensive
impacts across coastal areas. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Some structural damage is likely, with buildings receiving roof
      damage as well as window, door, and garage door failures.
      Mobile homes potentially suffering severe damage, with some
      destroyed. Damage may be enhanced by projectiles. Locations may
      be inaccessible or uninhabitable for some time after the storm
      passes.
    - Widespread large limbs will be down and many trees snapped or
      uprooted, along with fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Roads will be blocked in many areas as a result of large
      debris, especially within urban or heavily wooded areas.
      Several bridges, causeways, and elevated roadways will likely
      become unsafe.
    - Widespread areas will suffer from power and communication
      outages.
    - Several poorly secured small craft may break from their
      moorings.

Also, prepare for dangerous wind having possible significant impacts
across inland areas.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across mainly east of I-95. Potential impacts include:
    - Moderate flooding from rainfall may prompt some evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and streams may rise and overspill their banks in a few
      places, especially in the typical prone locations. Small creeks
      and ditches may overflow.
    - Flood waters may enter some structures. Underpasses, low-lying
      spots along roadways, and poor drainage areas may become
      submerged by rising water. Some secondary streets and parking
      lots may flood as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.
    - Driving conditions will become hazardous, and some road
      closures can be expected.

Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible limited to
significant impacts across areas west of I-95.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
coastal areas. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Tornadoes can cause damage to trees, vehicles, boats, and
      buildings. Unsecured mobile homes and poorly constructed
      structures are particularly vulnerable.

Elsewhere across southeast North Carolina and northeast South
Carolina, little to no impact is anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move,
relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help keep
roadways open for those under evacuation orders.

If evacuating, follow designated evacuation routes. Seek traffic
information on roadway signs, the radio, and from official sources.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging wind
gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the center of
the storm.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or poor
drainage area, in a valley, or near an already swollen river, plan to
move to safe shelter on higher ground.

If you are a visitor, know the name of the county or parish in which
you are located and where it is relative to current watches and
warnings. If staying at a hotel, ask the management staff about their
onsite disaster plan. Listen for evacuation orders, especially
pertaining to area visitors.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Wilmington NC around 11 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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