[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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WTUS82 KJAX 030317
HLSJAX
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Hurricane Dorian Local Statement Advisory Number 39
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL  AL052019
1117 PM EDT Mon Sep 2 2019

This product covers Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia

**EXTREMELY POWERFUL HURRICANE DORIAN IS STILL STATIONARY AND
CONTINUES TO PUMMEL GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Watch are in effect
      for Inland Glynn
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Watch are in effect for
      Coastal Camden, Coastal Duval, Coastal Glynn, and Coastal Nassau
    - A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Inland Flagler and Inland
      St. Johns
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect for
      Coastal Flagler and Coastal St. Johns
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Inland Camden, Inland
      Duval, and Inland Nassau
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Clay, Eastern Marion,
      and Putnam

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 300 miles southeast of Jacksonville FL or about 270 miles
      southeast of St. Augustine FL
    - 26.9N 78.5W
    - Storm Intensity 130 mph
    - Movement Stationary

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Hurricane Dorian is a powerful and extremely dangerous hurricane with
peak winds near 130 mph. Dorian has been nearly stationary today and
has moved little. By Tuesday, the storm is forecast to turn northwest
and begin to make its way towards the Florida coast. As Dorian slowly
approaches, it is forecast to turn north-northwest and parallel the
coastline Tuesday into Wednesday.

At this time, the exact track remains uncertain, and small changes in
the forecast track could have large influences on the threat to
Northeast Florida for damaging winds and life-threatening storm surge.
Should Dorian approach even closer, it would produce more serious
impacts to coastal areas.

Listen to local officials and heed evacuation orders as given. Large
battering waves and higher than normal tides will add to the
destructive potential, along with beach erosion.

Heavy rainfall is forecast over eastern parts of northeast Florida and
coastal southeast Georgia and with total accumulations of 4 to
8 inches, with maximum isolated rainfall amounts to 10 inches along
the east coast. Flash flooding is possible, especially in urban and
poorly drained areas.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible extensive
impacts across the beaches of coastal northeast Florida and southeast
Georgia. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding
      accentuated by battering waves. Structural damage to buildings,
      with several washing away. Damage compounded by floating
      debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an extended period.
    - Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads
      washed out or severely flooded. Flood control systems and
      barriers may become stressed.
    - Severe beach erosion with significant dune loss.
    - Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many
      small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and stranded.


* WIND:
Protect against life-threatening wind having possible extensive
impacts across coastal sections of northeast Florida and southeast
Georgia. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having
      window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural
      damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed.
      Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be
      uninhabitable for weeks.
    - Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
      roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways, and
      access routes impassable.
    - Large areas with power and communications outages.

Also, protect against dangerous wind having possible limited to
significant impacts across portions of northeast Florida somewhat
inland of the coast.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible
significant impacts across coastal areas of northeast Florida and
southeast Georgia. Potential impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across the rest of northeast Florida and southeast
Georgia.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,
falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move,
relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help keep
roadways open for those under evacuation orders.

If evacuating, leave with a destination in mind and allow extra time
to get there. Take your emergency supplies kit. Gas up your vehicle
ahead of time.

Let others know where you are going prior to departure. Secure loose
items and pets in the car, and avoid distracted driving.


* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

If heading to a community shelter, become familiar with the shelter
rules before arrival, especially if you have special needs or have
pets. Take essential items with you from your Emergency Supplies Kit.

Keep cell phones well charged. Cell phone chargers for automobiles
can be helpful, but be aware of your risk for deadly carbon monoxide
poisoning if your car is left idling in a garage or other poorly
ventilated area.

If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in
which you are staying and the name of the county or parish in which
it resides. Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay
attention for instructions from local authorities.

Storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and
hurricanes! Make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge
zone. Even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find
yourself cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. Heed
evacuation orders issued by the local authorities.

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of
strong winds or flooding.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Jacksonville FL around 5 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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