[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTAE 191541
HLSTAE
FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-192345-

Post-Tropical Cyclone Nestor Local Statement Advisory Number 9
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL  AL162019
1141 AM EDT Sat Oct 19 2019 /1041 AM CDT Sat Oct 19 2019/

This product covers EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...FLORIDA BIG BEND...
SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA

**NESTOR LOSES ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AND BECOMES A
POST-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - The Tropical Storm Warning has been cancelled for Calhoun,
      Coastal Bay, Inland Bay, Inland Gulf, Jackson, South Walton,
      and Washington
    - The Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning have been
      cancelled for Coastal Gulf

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Gadsden, Inland
      Dixie, Inland Franklin, Inland Jefferson, Inland Taylor, Inland
      Wakulla, Lafayette, Leon, Liberty, and Madison
    - A Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning are in effect
      for Coastal Dixie, Coastal Franklin, Coastal Jefferson, Coastal
      Taylor, and Coastal Wakulla

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 70 miles south-southwest of PANAMA CITY or about 80 miles
      west-southwest of APALACHICOLA or about 150 miles
      west-southwest of TALLAHASSEE
    - 29.3N 86.3W
    - Storm Intensity 50 mph
    - Movement East-northeast or 75 degrees at 9 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Nestor has lost all tropical characteristics and is now a Post-
Tropical low pressure system. The center of Post-Tropical Nestor was
located around 75 miles southwest of Apalachicola, FL and was moving
ENE around 9 mph. Tropical storm force winds are being observed across
the coastal areas and coastal waters of the Florida Big Bend. Tropical
Storm force winds, mainly in gusts, will spread east and inland across
portions of the Florida Big Bend through early this afternoon. Strong
winds will potentially produce life-threatening inundation from storm
surge along the FL Big Bend coast. The tornado threat is elevated
across the Big Bend, where isolated tornadoes are possible. Given the
fast moving nature of the system, the flooding rain threat is minimal,
with only 2 to 4 inches of rain expected with isolated 5 inch amounts.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding across the
FLORIDA BIG BEND. If realized, these impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* SURGE:
Protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across FLORIDA BIG BEND COASTLINE EAST OF INDIAN PASS.
Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

Potential impacts from the main surge event are also now unfolding
across the FLORIDA BIG BEND COASTLINE EAST OF INDIAN PASS.

Elsewhere across EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...FLORIDA BIG
BEND...SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA, little to no
impact is anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
the Florida Big Bend. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, large
      tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees knocked
      over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats pulled
      from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

If a Tornado Warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter
quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not
prone to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter
options.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Tallahassee FL around 6 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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