[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Oct 15 03:45:36 CDT 2019


WTNT35 KNHC 150845
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Fifteen Advisory Number   3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL152019
500 AM AST Tue Oct 15 2019

...POORLY ORGANIZED TROPICAL DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR THE
EASTERN CABO VERDE ISLANDS LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 20.9W
ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM E OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should closely monitor the
progress of the depression since a Tropical Storm Warning could be
required for a portion of the islands later today.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fifteen
was located near latitude 15.6 North, longitude 20.9 West. The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h),
and this general motion is expected to continue through Wednesday.
On the forecast track, the center of the depression is expected to
pass over or near the eastern Cabo Verde Islands later today.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts. Slight strengthening is possible, and the depression is
forecast to become a tropical storm later today. Weakening is
expected to begin on Wednesday, and the system is forecast to become
a remnant low in a couple of days.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  The depression is expected to produce rainfall
accumulations of 1 to 3 inches across the Cabo Verde Islands, with
isolated maximum amounts of 5 inches in the higher terrain,
especially across the eastern portion of the islands. This rainfall
could cause flash flooding and mudslides.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions could occur across the eastern
Cabo Verde Islands later today.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
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