[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Oct 10 18:43:00 CDT 2019


ABNT20 KNHC 102342
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Oct 10 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A non-tropical low pressure system located off the northeastern and
mid-Atlantic coasts of the United States is producing widespread
showers, a few thunderstorms, and storm-force winds.  The low is
expected to continue meandering off the coast during the next
couple of days, but environmental conditions are not expected to be
conducive for significant subtropical or tropical development,
particularly after upper-level winds increase over the weekend.
Strong winds, coastal flooding, heavy rainfall, and rough surf are
expected to continue affecting portions of the mid-Atlantic and
northeastern United States coasts through Saturday.  Additional
information on this system can also be found in local products and
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the western
Caribbean Sea late this weekend.  This system is forecast to move
westward toward Central America early next week, and some
development is possible if the low remains over water while moving
near the coasts of Honduras, Guatemala, and Belize.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Berg
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