[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 090500
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Oct 9 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A non-tropical low pressure system located about 1000 miles east of
Bermuda continues to produce winds to near gale force.  This system
could still become a tropical or subtropical storm while it moves
slowly westward through today.  However, upper-level winds are
expected to become unfavorable for further development by tonight.
Additional information on this system can be found in High
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Cloudiness and showers located off the mid-Atlantic coast of the
United States are associated with a non-tropical area of low
pressure that is beginning to produce gale-force winds.  This system
is forecast to move northward or northeastward and strengthen as a
non-tropical low off the east coast of the United States during the
next day or so.  This system could acquire some subtropical
characteristics by the end of the week when it drifts southward
offshore of the United States.  Regardless of development, this
system is expected to bring strong winds, coastal flooding, and
rough surf to portions of the mid- Atlantic and northeastern United
States coasts through late week.  Additional information on this
system can also be found in local products and High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

A small area of low pressure is located about 270 miles
south-southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina.  While the low
is likely producing winds to near gale force, the associated
thunderstorm activity is limited.  Although upper-level winds are
not particularly favorable for additional development, this system
still has the potential to become a tropical depression or storm
today.  By tonight, the system is forecast to merge with the low off
the east coast of the United States.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Pasch
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