[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 080500
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Oct 8 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A non-tropical low pressure system located over the central Atlantic
between Bermuda and the Azores is producing winds to near gale
force.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be generally
conducive for the low to acquire some subtropical or tropical
characteristics during the next day or two, and this system could
become a tropical or subtropical storm on Tuesday or Wednesday while
it moves slowly westward.  Upper-level winds are expected to become
unfavorable for further development by Wednesday evening.
Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Showers and thunderstorms over the western Atlantic between the
southeastern coast of the United States and Bermuda are associated
with a broad, non-tropical area of low pressure.  This system is
forecast to move northward or northeastward and could acquire some
subtropical characteristics off the east coast of the United States
in a couple of days.  Additional information on this system can also
be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

A trough of low pressure extending from the Yucatan Channel
northeastward across the southern Florida peninsula is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Some slight development of
this system is possible on Tuesday when it moves off the southeast
U.S. coast.  The disturbance is forecast to merge with a low off the
east coast of the United States by Wednesday, and no further
development is anticipated after that time.  Regardless of
development, this system is expected to produce locally heavy
rainfall over portions of the the Florida peninsula during the next
day or so.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Pasch
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