[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTPQ81 PGUM 161105
HLSPQ1

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
905 PM CHST SAT MAR 16 2019

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W JUST SOUTHEAST OF NGULU...

.NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM WATCH CANCELLED FOR YAP.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR
PEOPLE ON KOROR AND KAYANGEL IN THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU...AND PEOPLE ON
YAP AND NGULU IN YAP STATE.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NGULU IN YAP STATE...AND
KOROR AND KAYANGEL IN THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 7 PM CHST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 7.6N...LONGITUDE 138.2E. THIS WAS

ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTH OF YAP
ABOUT  70 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NGULU
ABOUT 240 MILES EAST OF KAYANGEL
ABOUT 255 MILES EAST OF KOROR
ABOUT 605 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GUAM

03W WAS MOVING WEST AT 14 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED BUT SOME DEEP
CONVECTION HAS FLARED UP NEAR THE CENTER...WHICH COULD SIGNAL THE
POSSIBILITY OF SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IF THE CONVECTION PERSISTS. THE
LATEST FORECAST SHOWS A SMALL INCREASE IN MAX WINDS...TO AROUND 35
MPH ON SUNDAY...BEFORE 03W BEGINS TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN. A STEADY WEST
TO WEST-SOUTHWEST HEADING WILL BRING 03W OVER KOROR SUNDAY. TROPICAL
STORM WATCHES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR ISLANDS CLOSEST TO THE FORECAST
PATH IN CASE 03W INTENSIFIES.

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 3 AM OR SOONER IF NEEDED.

...YAP...

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS CANCELLED...

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MAINTAIN PRECAUTION TONIGHT AS PASSING HEAVY SHOWERS COULD BRING
STRONG GUSTS AT TIMES. DAMAGING WINDS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED AT YAP.

...WIND INFORMATION...
EAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN HEAVIER SHOWERS
ARE EXPECTED INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. WINDS WILL DIMINISH AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
HAZARDOUS SURF OF 7 TO 9 FEET ON NORTH FACING REEFS AND 10 TO 12
FEET ON EAST FACING REEFS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TONIGHT...FALLING
BELOW HAZARDOUS LEVELS SUNDAY.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT.

...NGULU...

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DAMAGING WINDS ARE CURRENTLY NOT EXPECTED AT NGULU. THE CENTER OF 03W
IS EXPECTED TO PASS JUST SOUTH OF NGULU TONIGHT. THE STRONGEST WINDS
WILL BE FELT OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS INTO THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT AS 03W COULD STILL
INTENSIFY MORE THAN EXPECTED. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AS
SEAS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED AND CHOPPY UNTIL 03W HAS PASSED TO THE
SOUTHWEST.

...WIND INFORMATION...
NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL TURN EAST AROUND MIDNIGHT AND
WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH OVERNIGHT. WINDS COULD GUST UP
TO 45 MPH IN HEAVIER SHOWERS. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
HAZARDOUS SURF OF 10 TO 14 FEET ON NORTH AND EAST FACING REEFS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH MIDNIGHT. INUNDATION OF UP TO 1 FOOT IS POSSIBLE.
SURF WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN IS LIKELY THROUGH TONIGHT AS 03W PASSES.

...KAYANGEL...

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DAMAGING WINDS ARE STILL NOT EXPECTED AT KAYANGEL. HOWEVER...THE
CENTER OF 03W IS EXPECTED TO PASS JUST SOUTH OF KAYANGEL SUNDAY
MORNING. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT AS 03W COULD
INTENSIFY MORE THAN EXPECTED. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN SECURED AS
SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TONIGHT AS 03W APPROACHES.

...WIND INFORMATION...
NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL TURN EAST SUNDAY MORNING AND
INCREASE TO BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH IN SHOWERS.
WINDS WILL SUBSIDE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AFTER 03W HAS PASSED.

...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
SURF WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT AND REACH HAZARDOUS LEVELS OF 10 TO 14
FEET ON NORTH AND EAST FACING REEFS EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. INUNDATION
OF UP TO 1 FOOT IS POSSIBLE. SURF WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS THROUGH
MIDDAY SUNDAY BEFORE BEGINNING TO SUBSIDE SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN IS LIKELY THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS 03W
PASSES.

...KOROR...

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DAMAGING WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT KOROR. HOWEVER...TD 03W IS
EXPECTED TO BE JUST BELOW TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY AS IT PASSES NEAR
OR OVER KOROR SUNDAY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
KOROR AS 03W COULD STILL INTENSIFY. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN SECURED
IN PORT AS SEAS WILL RISE OVERNIGHT AS 03W APPROACHES.

...WIND INFORMATION...
NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 MPH WILL INCREASE TONIGHT TO BETWEEN 25 AND 30
MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH IN SHOWERS BY DAWN. WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY. STRONG WINDS WILL
PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE DECREASING IN THE EVENING.
WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK SHOWING 03W PASSING OVER KOROR AROUND
MIDDAY SUNDAY...WIND DIRECTIONS ON SUNDAY WILL VARY WHETHER ONE IS
JUST NORTH OR SOUTH OF THE TRACK. SMALL SHIFTS IN THE TRACK COULD
CAUSE SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN WIND DIRECTIONS FOR EACH LOCATION.
HOWEVER...WIND SPEEDS WILL BE THE SAME WHETHER NORTH OR SOUTH. WINDS
WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE SUNDAY EVENING AFTER 03W HAS PASSED.

...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
SURF WILL REACH HAZARDOUS LEVELS 10 TO 14 FEET ON NORTH AND EAST
FACING REEFS BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. INUNDATION OF UP TO 1 FOOT IS
POSSIBLE.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN IS LIKELY THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING AS 03W PASSES.

$$

W. AYDLETT
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