[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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WTUS84 KLIX 110340
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LAZ034>037-039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-111145-

Potential Tropical Cyclone Two Local Statement Advisory Number 3
National Weather Service New Orleans LA  AL022019
1040 PM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019

This product covers Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi

...SYSTEM IS ALMOST A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for Orleans, St. Charles,
      Upper Jefferson, Upper Plaquemines, and Upper St. Bernard
    - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch are in effect for
      Lower St. Bernard
    - A Storm Surge Watch and Hurricane Watch are in effect for
      Assumption, Lower Jefferson, Lower Lafourche, Lower
      Plaquemines, Lower Terrebonne, Upper Lafourche, and Upper
      Terrebonne

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 210 miles southeast of New Orleans LA or about 200 miles
      south-southeast of Gulfport MS
    - 27.7N 88.0W
    - Storm Intensity 30 mph
    - Movement West-southwest or 245 degrees at 9 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------
OVERVIEW...
At 1000 PM CDT, Potential Tropical Cyclone Two was located near
latitude 27.7 North, longitude 88.0 West. Movement was west-
southwest at 9 mph. This system is anticipated to become better
organized into a tropical storm Thursday and possibly a hurricane
prior to landfall somewhere along the northwest gulf coast region
late Friday night or early Saturday morning.


POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across southeast Louisiana. Potential impacts
include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across southern Mississippi.

* WIND:
Prepare for life-threatening wind having possible extensive impacts
across south-central Louisiana and the near coastal areas.
Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some having
      window, door, and garage door failures leading to structural
      damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some destroyed.
      Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles. Locations may be
      uninhabitable for weeks.
    - Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
      roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways, and
      access routes impassable.
    - Large areas with power and communications outages.

Also, prepare for dangerous wind having possible limited to
significant impacts across interior portions of southeast Louisiana into
coastal Mississippi and southwest Mississippi.

* SURGE:
Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across lower Louisiana, particularly near the mouth of the Mississippi
River and in the Atchafalaya Bay area. Potential impacts in
this area include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

Also, prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across east facing shores of Louisiana.

Elsewhere across Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi, little to
no impact is anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended
preparedness actions, including possible evacuation. If ordered to
evacuate, do so immediately.

For those not under evacuation orders, assess
the risk from wind, falling trees, and flooding at your location. If
you decide to move, relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do
not relocate, help keep roadways open for those under evacuation
orders.

If evacuating, leave with a destination in mind
and allow extra time to get there. Take your emergency supplies kit.
Gas up your vehicle ahead of time.

Let others know where you are going prior to
departure. Secure loose items and pets in the car, and avoid
distracted driving.

If evacuating, follow designated evacuation
routes. Seek traffic information on roadway signs, the radio, and
from official sources.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, plan to move to safe shelter.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or poor
drainage area, in a valley, or near an already swollen river, plan to
move to safe shelter on higher ground.

Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that
are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of
others.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in New Orleans LA around 5 AM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$

24/RR
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