[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KLIX 101551
HLSLIX
LAZ034>037-039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-110000-

Potential Tropical Cyclone Two Local Statement Advisory Number 1
National Weather Service New Orleans LA  AL022019
1051 AM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019

This product covers Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi

...TROPICAL CYCLONE EXPECTED TO FORM BY THURSDAY OVER THE NORTHERN
GULF OF MEXICO...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Watch has been issued for Lower St. Bernard,
      Orleans, St. Charles, Upper Jefferson, Upper Plaquemines, and
      Upper St. Bernard
    - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch have been issued
      for Assumption, Lower Jefferson, Lower Lafourche, Lower
      Plaquemines, Lower Terrebonne, Upper Lafourche, and Upper
      Terrebonne

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for Lower St. Bernard,
      Orleans, St. Charles, Upper Jefferson, Upper Plaquemines, and
      Upper St. Bernard
    - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch are in effect for
      Assumption, Lower Jefferson, Lower Lafourche, Lower
      Plaquemines, Lower Terrebonne, Upper Lafourche, and Upper
      Terrebonne

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 250 miles east-southeast of New Orleans LA or about 210
      miles southeast of Gulfport MS
    - 28.5N 86.4W
    - Storm Intensity 30 mph
    - Movement West-southwest or 240 degrees at 8 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

OVERVIEW...At 1000 AM CDT, Potential Tropical Cyclone 2 was located
near latitude 28.5 North, longitude 86.4 West. The system is moving
toward the west-southwest at 8 mph.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across extreme southeast Louisiana and coastal Mississippi.
Potential impacts include:
    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter
      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially
      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and
      ditches overflow.
    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.
      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid
      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage
      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as
      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions
      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.

Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across extreme southeast Louisiana and coastal
Mississippi.

* WIND:
Prepare for dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across
extreme southeast Louisiana.
Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

Also, prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts
across extreme southeast Louisiana.

Elsewhere across Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi, little to
no impact is anticipated.

* SURGE:
Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant
impacts across extreme southeast Louisiana. Potential impacts in
this area include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

Also, prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across extreme southeast Louisiana.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across
Southeast Louisiana and South Mississippi. Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that
are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of
others.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in New Orleans LA around 5 PM CDT, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
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