[Tropical] Tropical Weather Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

AXNT20 KNHC 221200
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Apr 22 2019

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1045 UTC.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends from Sierra Leone near 07N12W to
03N15W. The ITCZ continues from 03N15W to 00N30W to the coast of
Brazil near 02S44W. Isolated moderate convection is from 05N-05S
between 00W-16W, and from 02N-06S between 30W-44W.

GULF OF MEXICO...

A 1023 mb high is centered over the northeast Gulf near 29N86W.
Light to gentle winds are noted near the high center. Moderate to
locally fresh return flow continues west of 92W. Fair weather is
noted over the entire Gulf.

High pressure will prevail across the basin through midweek
before retreating eastward. This will enable a cold front to move
into the NW Gulf on Thursday, pushing across the basin through
Friday night.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is over E Panama,
N Colombia, and W Venezuela. Scattered showers are over the
Leeward and Windward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, E Cuba, and
Jamaica. More scattered showers are over central Honduras and N
Nicaragua. Light to gentle winds are across the northwest basin,
while moderate to fresh trades are across the rest of the
Caribbean.

Moderate to fresh trade winds will prevail today before
diminishing slightly. A cold front may move into the NW Caribbean
from the Gulf of Mexico by the end of the week into next weekend.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

In the western Atlantic, a stationary front enters the waters
near 31N70W and extends south to the central Bahamas near 24N74W.
Scattered moderate convection is within 60 nm of the front. A
1012 mb low is is over the central Atlantic near 26N49W. A surface
trough extends S from the low to 20N51W. Showers are within 210 nm
of the low.

The stationary front in the western Atlantic will gradually
dissipate today, with remnants lingering through mid week. The
next cold front may move off NE Florida by the end of the week
into next weekend.

For additional information please visit
http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine

$$
Formosa
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