[Tropical] Tropical Weather Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

AXNT20 KNHC 131834 CCA
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion...CORRECTED
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
234 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2019

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1745 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

...Gulf of Mexico Gale Warning...

A cold front is forecast to enter the western Gulf of Mexico
tonight from 30N88W to 21N95W to 18.5N95W. North to northwest
gale force winds are forecast south of 21N and west of the front
with seas 8 to 11 ft.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Sierra Leone near
07N11W to 00N19W. The ITCZ continues from 00N19W to 01S29W to the
coast of Brazil near 02S42W. Scattered moderate convection along
the monsoon trough and ITCZ from 02N-02S between 09W-21W and
closer to the coast of Brazil from 07S-00N between 29W-40W.

GULF OF MEXICO...

The warm front is lifting away from the Gulf coast across the
southeast and middle Texas coast. Meanwhile, areas of fog are
observed in the north-central portion of the basin. Smoke also
continues to move north into the Bay of Campeche west of 90W.
South-southeasterly fresh to strong winds are seen north of the
Yucatan Peninsula and moderate to fresh to the northeast portion
of the basin.

A cold front will move into the NW Gulf tonight. The front will
rapidly move across the Gulf waters, moving SE of the area Mon. A
brief period of minimal gale conditions is expected off the coast
of Veracruz Mexico on Sun. High pressure will build in the wake of
the front.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

Clouds with low-topped showers are moving across the eastern and
northern Caribbean. Showers are continue to move throughout the
Greater Antilles. Showers are also seen moving across the Windward
Islands. A surface trough is from the eastern Bahamas near 22N73W
to south of 17N73W. Trade winds are moderate in the eastern
Caribbean with gentle trades across the northern and southern
basin. North of Colombia. winds are fresh to strong particularly
from 11N-16N to 71W-77W.

Fresh to strong southeast winds in the far western Caribbean and
Gulf of Honduras will continue through the weekend before
diminishing Sun night. Fresh to strong winds in the south-central
Caribbean near the coast of Colombia will persist through Wed
night.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front enters the forecast waters near 31N33W and stretches
to the west near 25N49W to 27N68W. From 27N68W, the tail-end of
the boundary stalls to near 30N76W. Showers are moving along and
100 nm ahead of the front. A trough extends from 24N46W to 18N48W.
Scattered showers are seen in the vicinity of the trough axis.Ahead
of the front, winds are out of the south-southwest light to gentle.
As the front passes, winds are switching to north between moderate
to fresh isolated strong winds from 27N47W to 28N48W. Otherwise,
gentle to moderate winds out of the east- northeast can be seen
across the rest of the basin as a surface ridging prevails across
the area anchored by a 1023 mb high near 31N16W.

A weakening trough extending NE from the Windward passage to near
27N72W will move northwestward and dissipate tonight. High pressure
will prevail across the area through Sun night. A cold front will
move off the coast of NE Florida Sun night preceded by fresh to
strong SW winds. The front will reach from Bermuda to Straits of
Florida Tue, then weaken and become stationary from 27N65W to the
northern Bahamas on Wed.

For additional information please visit
http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine

$$
MMTorres
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