[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Sep 10 10:36:09 CDT 2018


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Hurricane Olivia Local Statement Advisory Number 40
National Weather Service Honolulu HI  EP172018
535 AM HST Mon Sep 10 2018

This product covers the Hawaiian islands

**HURRICANE OLIVIA STILL MOVING TOWARD HAWAII**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for Big Island Interior,
      Big Island North and East, Big Island Summits, Haleakala
      Summit, Kahoolawe, Kohala, Kona, Lanai Makai, Lanai Mauka,
      Leeward Haleakala, Maui Central Valley, Maui Leeward West, Maui
      Windward West, Molokai Leeward, Molokai Windward, South Big
      Island, and Windward Haleakala

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Central Oahu, Oahu
      Koolau, Oahu North Shore, Oahu South Shore, Olomana, Waianae
      Coast, and Waianae Mountains
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Big Island Interior,
      Big Island North and East, Big Island Summits, Haleakala
      Summit, Kahoolawe, Kohala, Kona, Lanai Makai, Lanai Mauka,
      Leeward Haleakala, Maui Central Valley, Maui Leeward West, Maui
      Windward West, Molokai Leeward, Molokai Windward, South Big
      Island, and Windward Haleakala

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 640 miles east of Honolulu or about 480 miles
      east-northeast of Hilo
    - 21.7N 148.0W
    - Storm Intensity 85 mph
    - Movement West or 270 degrees at 10 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Hurricane Olivia is expected to bring strong winds, heavy rainfall,
and high surf to parts of the state. Olivia will continue moving
toward the west early today, followed by an expected turn toward the
west-southwest tonight. Based on the latest forecast track, Olivia
will approach the main Hawaiian Islands on Tuesday and will likely
move over portions of the island chain Tuesday night and Wednesday.
While remains too early to determine which island is at the greatest
risk, Maui and the Big Island will be the first areas to experience
impacts from Olivia. Do not focus on the exact forecast track or
intensity of Olivia and be prepared for changes in future forecasts.

Damaging tropical storm force winds may begin as early as Tuesday
afternoon across Maui and the Big Island. hurricane force wind gusts
are possible as Olivia moves across the state Tuesday night and
Wednesday. It is important to remember that the mountainous terrain of
Hawaii can produce localized areas of highly enhanced winds, even well
away from the tropical cyclone center.

The chance for flooding rainfall will increase rapidly late Tuesday
and will remain a significant threat through at least Wednesday.
Preliminary storm total rainfall amounts are in the 10 to 15 inch
range, with isolated areas up to 20 inches. Much of this rainfall will
be focused on windward areas, many of which already received
substantial amounts of rain from recent Hurricane Lane. However,
flooding will be a significant threat for all areas.

Large swells and surf generated by Hurricane Olivia will be the
initial threat. Surf will slowly build over the next couple of days,
and may become damaging on some east facing shores Tuesday and
Wednesday. This is expected to result in significant beach erosion and
overwash onto vulnerable coastal roadways, particularly during high
tide.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Protect against dangerous wind having possible significant impacts
across Maui County and the Big Island. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage
      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings
      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile
      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight
      objects become dangerous projectiles.
    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
      fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban
      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access
      routes impassable.
    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent
      in areas with above ground lines.

Also, protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts
across the rest of the State of Hawaii.

* SURGE:
Protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across eastern shorelines of the Big Island, Maui County, and
Oahu. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
      immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
      farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
    - Sections of near-shore roads and parking lots become overspread
      with surge water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where
      surge water covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion. Heavy surf also breaching dunes, mainly
      in usually vulnerable locations. Strong rip currents.
    - Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks,
      and piers. A few small craft broken away from moorings.

Elsewhere across the Hawaiian islands, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible
extensive impacts across the Hawaiian islands. Potential impacts
include:
    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.
    - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in
      multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, arroyos, and
      ditches may become dangerous rivers. In mountain areas,
      destructive runoff may run quickly down valleys while
      increasing susceptibility to rockslides and mudslides. Flood
      control systems and barriers may become stressed.
    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed
      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.
      Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with
      underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.
      Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,
including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so
immediately.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and
property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a
safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

It is important to remain calm, informed, and focused during an
emergency. Be patient and helpful with those you encounter.

If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in
which you are staying and the name of the county in which it resides.
Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay attention for
instructions from local authorities.

Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone
area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded
roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown!

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of
strong winds or flooding.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets
for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes
to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather
warnings.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Honolulu HI around 1130 AM HST, or sooner if conditions
warrant.

$$
Wroe
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