[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Sep 7 12:57:01 CDT 2018


ABNT20 KNHC 071756 CCB
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Sep 7 2018

Corrected status of Florence to tropical storm in first paragraph.

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Florence, located over the central Atlantic Ocean.  The
Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Gordon, located over Arkansas.

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
Tropical Cyclone Eight, located over the far eastern Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.

Satellite data indicate that the circulation of a low pressure
system located about 700 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands
is well defined.  However, the associated shower and thunderstorm
activity has not been sufficiently organized to designate the
system as a tropical depression.  Only a slight increase in
organization would lead to the initiation of advisories on this
system, possibly as early as later today or tonight.  This low is
expected to move slowly westward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean
during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

A trough of low pressure is producing a large area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms over the western Atlantic Ocean.
Development, if any, of this system should be slow to occur during
the next few days before environmental conditions become
unfavorable.  This system is expected to move little during the
next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight are issued
under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.
Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight are issued
under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Berg/Brennan
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