[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

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NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-103-104-120530-

Tropical Storm Michael Local Statement Advisory Number 21
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC  AL142018
515 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

This product covers Eastern North Carolina

**TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA**

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect
      for Outer Banks Dare and Outer Banks Hyde
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Beaufort, Carteret,
      Craven, Duplin, Greene, Jones, Lenoir, Mainland Dare, Mainland
      Hyde, Martin, Onslow, Pamlico, Pitt, Tyrrell, and Washington

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 190 miles west-northwest of Buxton NC
    - 36.1N 78.8W
    - Storm Intensity 50 mph
    - Movement Northeast or 50 degrees at 24 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Michael currently moving northeastward across Northern
North Carolina near the Raleigh area late this afternoon, and will
track off the North Carolina and Virginia coast this evening.

Tropical storm force winds, especially in gusts, across coastal
counties of North Carolina this afternoon. The strongest winds are
expected near the coast and areas adjacent to the sounds through this
evening. Winds along the coast could gust to 50 to 60 mph, while
inland areas could see gusts of 40 to 50 mph. Some localized wind gusts
to 70 mph may occur across the Northern Outer Banks on the backside of
Michael this evening. These winds could result in downed trees causing
sporadic power outages, and even some minor structural damage. Be sure
to secure any tarps on rooftops from previous storm damage.

Minor to moderate storm surge impacts will be possible with Michael.
Based on the current forecast, inundation of 1 to 3 feet above ground
level will be possible for areas along the coast and adjacent to the
sounds, with locally higher amounts possible. Inundation of 2 to
4 feet above ground level may be possible on the sound side of the
Outer Banks, especially north of Cape Hatteras this evening and
overnight as Michael lifts north of the area. Minor beach erosion and
overwash will be possible along the beaches as well due to wave run up.

Dangerous marine conditions are also expected, with seas as high as
10 to 15 feet tonight. A high threat of rip currents and large and
dangerous shore break is expected.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Potential impacts from the main wind event are now unfolding across
Eastern North Carolina. Remain well sheltered from hazardous wind
having additional limited impacts. If realized, these impacts include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

* SURGE:
Potential impacts from the main surge event are now unfolding across
coastal areas in Eastern North Carolina, especially for the sound side
of the Outer Banks north of Oregon Inlet. Remain well away from life-
threatening surge having possible significant impacts. If realized,
these impacts include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

Elsewhere across Eastern North Carolina, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* TORNADOES:
Potential impacts from tornadoes are still unfolding across the coastal
areas of Eastern North Carolina. Remain well braced against a tornado
event having possible limited impacts. If realized, these impacts
include:
    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution
      of emergency plans during tropical events.
    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power
      and communications disruptions.
    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys
      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned,
      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees
      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats
      pulled from moorings.

Elsewhere across Eastern North Carolina, little to no impact is
anticipated.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to stay inside and away from windows. Listen for
updates and be ready in case you lose electrical power. Keep a battery-
powered radio, charged cell phone and flashlight handy.

During the peak of the storm be ready to move quickly. Keep your
shoes on and rain gear handy. Boots and athletic shoes offer the best
foot protection if you become unexpectedly exposed to the weather.

Keep your cell phone charged and in power-saving mode. If you lose
power, use it sparingly and mainly for personal emergencies and
check-ins.

Do not venture outside while in the eye of a hurricane as any
improvement in weather will only be temporary. Once the eye passes,
conditions will become life threatening as winds immediately return
to dangerous speeds, so remain safely sheltered from the storm.

Do not be a thrill seeker or risk your life for senseless photos or
videos.

Quickly move to the safest place within your shelter if it begins to
fail, preferably an interior room on the lowest floor as long as
flooding is not a concern.

If you are prone to flooding or in an area under a storm surge watch
or warning, be prepared for the possibility of a quick and dramatic
rise in water levels.

If a tornado warning is issued for your area, quickly move to the
safest place within your shelter. Protect your head and body.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Newport/Morehead City NC around Midnight, or sooner if
conditions warrant.

$$
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