[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KILM 110609
HLSILM
NCZ087-096-099-105>110-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-054>056-058-059-111415-

Tropical Storm Michael Local Statement Intermediate Advisory Number 18A
National Weather Service Wilmington NC  AL142018
209 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

This product covers southeast North Carolina and northeast South Carolina

 **Tropical Storm Michael Will Move Across Later This Morning and Early Afternoon**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - None

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Bladen, Central
      Horry, Coastal Brunswick, Coastal Georgetown, Coastal Horry,
      Coastal New Hanover, Coastal Pender, Columbus, Darlington,
      Dillon, Florence, Inland Brunswick, Inland Georgetown, Inland
      New Hanover, Inland Pender, Marion, Marlboro, Northern Horry,
      Robeson, and Williamsburg

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 330 miles west-southwest of Wilmington NC or about 260
      miles west-southwest of Myrtle Beach SC
    - 32.7N 83.2W
    - Storm Intensity 60 mph
    - Movement Northeast or 45 degrees at 20 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Tropical Storm Michael will move across northeast South Carolina and
southeast North Carolina today. Wind gusts to tropical storm force
will occur with the highest gusts along the coast and the adjacent Atlantic
waters. The overly saturated ground and weakened trees will still allow
for an elevated wind risk and some power outages will occur. Tornados will
become likely later this morning and midday. Flash flooding will also be possible
though the storm's rapid motion should limit rainfall amounts.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* WIND:
Prepare for dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across
southeast North Carolina and northeast South Carolina.
Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Some damage to roofing and siding, along with damage to porches
      and awnings. A few buildings experiencing window, door, and
      garage door failures. Damage to vulnerable structures such as
      carports, sheds and mobile homes is possible.
    - Large limbs will be down with several trees snapped or
      uprooted. Several fences and roadway signs may become blown
      over. Some roads may become impassable due to large debris
      blocking the roadway, especially within urban or heavily wooded
      locations. Some bridges, causeways, and elevated roads may be
      impacted by high winds making driving on them hazardous.
    - Scattered power and communications outages are possible, but
      more prevalent in areas with above ground lines.
    - Small craft that are not properly moored may break loose.

Also, prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts
across southeast North Carolina and northeast South Carolina.

* FLOODING RAIN:
Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant
impacts across southeast North Carolina and northeast South Carolina.
Potential impacts
include:
    - Moderate flooding from rainfall may prompt some evacuations and
      rescues.
    - Rivers and streams may rise and overspill their banks in a few
      places, especially in the typical prone locations. Small creeks
      and ditches may overflow.
    - Flood waters may enter some structures. Underpasses, low-lying
      spots along roadways, and poor drainage areas may become
      submerged by rising water. Some secondary streets and parking
      lots may flood as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.
    - Driving conditions will become hazardous, and some road
      closures can be expected.

Prepare for locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible
limited impacts across southeast North Carolina and northeast South Carolina.

* TORNADOES:
Prepare for a dangerous tornado event having possible significant
impacts across southeast North Carolina and northeast South Carolina.
Potential impacts include:
    - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder preparedness
      actions during tropical events.
    - Tornadoes can rip roofs from homes, destroy mobile homes, cause
      trees to become snapped or uprooted, flip cars and boats.
      Dangerous projectiles can add to the damage.
    - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots
      of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.

* SURGE:
Prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts
across southeast North Carolina and northeast South Carolina.
Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - Localized inundation and minor over-wash is possible, mainly
      along immediate shorelines and other vulnerable low-lying areas
      along the coast. Low spots along waterways and tidal creeks may
      also be impacted.
    - Some portions of near-shore roads and parking lots may become
      covered by surge water. Driving conditions may become hazardous
      in places where the surge covers the road.
    - Moderate beach erosion is possible, mainly in the vulnerable
      locations along the ocean front.
    - Minor damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers is
      possible. A few small craft may break away from moorings if not
      properly secured.
    - Navigation may be difficult near inlets and waterways, as
      navigational aids may be off station or missing.

Elsewhere across southeast North Carolina and northeast South
Carolina, little to no impact is anticipated.

* OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS:
 - HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON
- HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT FRIDAY
- BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT FOR STRONG LONG SHORE CURRENTS IN EFFECT
   FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING
- COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 1 PM EDT
   THURSDAY FOR COASTAL BRUNSWICK COUNTY
- COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM FRIDAY FOR THE
   REST OF THE BEACHES FROM SURF CITY NC TO PAWLEYS ISLAND SC
- COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR
   THE LOWER CAPE FEAR RIVER

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:

If you are exceptionally vulnerable to wind or
water hazards from tropical systems, consider voluntary evacuation,
especially if being officially recommended. Relocate to a
predetermined shelter or safe destination.

* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Outside preparations should be wrapped up as soon as possible before
weather conditions completely deteriorate. Any remaining evacuations
and relocations should be expedited before the onset of tropical storm
force wind.

Tarps protecting roofs damaged from Hurricane Florence should be
secured.

Keep cell phones well charged and handy. Also, cell phone chargers
for automobiles can be helpful after the storm. Locate your chargers
and keep them with your cell phone.

In emergencies it is best to remain calm. Stay informed and focused
on the situation at hand. Exercise patience with those you encounter.
Be a Good Samaritan and helpful to others.

Closely monitor NOAA Weather radio or other local news outlets for
official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes to
the forecast.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Wilmington NC around 6 AM, or sooner if conditions warrant.

$$
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